DateThis TeamOpponentExpected
vs. Actual
ChangeNew Rating
11/02/19NOVA (197)vs Morgantown (106)Expected: 0.23, Actual: 0.30+4.0492.3Stats
09/14/19NOVA (188)vs Rocktown (149)Expected: 0.05, Actual: 0.12+3.7488.2Stats
09/07/19NOVA (189)vs Dominion (177)Expected: -0.40, Actual: 0.03+25.5484.6Stats
08/17/19NOVA (106)vs Free State (238)Expected: -0.22, Actual: -0.38-9.7459.0Stats
05/19/19NOVA (311)vs Diamond State (117)Expected: 0.41, Actual: 0.45+2.6468.7Stats
04/27/19NOVA (181)vs Fredericksburg (100)Expected: 0.10, Actual: 0.29+11.5466.1Stats
10/20/18NOVA (150)vs CDD: Belmont Bruisers (387)Expected: -0.52, Actual: -0.44+4.7454.7Stats
07/15/18NOVA (318)vs Diamond State (97)Expected: 0.33, Actual: 0.53+12.0449.9Stats
07/14/18NOVA (168)vs BRD: Brawlers (323)Expected: -0.03, Actual: -0.32-17.0437.9Stats
06/16/18NOVA (260)vs FSRD: Rock Villains (127)Expected: -0.03, Actual: 0.34+22.4455.0Stats
05/12/18NOVA (230)vs Southern Maryland (142)Expected: 0.21, Actual: 0.24+1.7432.6Stats
04/21/18NOVA (142)vs Southern Delaware (191)Expected: -0.07, Actual: -0.15-4.7430.9Stats
09/23/17NOVA (107)vs Morgantown (246)Expected: -0.29, Actual: -0.39-6.1435.7Stats
07/15/17NOVA (137)vs Fredericksburg (188)Expected: -0.14, Actual: -0.16-0.9441.8Stats
05/20/17NOVA (183)vs Rocktown (172)Expected: 0.01, Actual: 0.03+1.1442.7Stats
05/13/17NOVA (164)vs 301 Derby (155)Expected: 0.31, Actual: 0.03-16.7441.6Stats
04/22/17NOVA (218)vs Diamond State (61)Expected: 0.37, Actual: 0.56+11.5458.4Stats
03/18/17NOVA (154)vs York City (134)Expected: -0.22, Actual: 0.07+17.5446.8Stats
12/04/16NOVA (30)vs Mother State (436)Expected: -0.76, Actual: -0.87-6.8429.3Stats
11/06/16NOVA (73)vs River City (287)Expected: -0.33, Actual: -0.59-16.0436.1Stats
10/16/16NOVA (148)vs Reading (218)Expected: -0.35, Actual: -0.19+9.7452.1Stats
07/09/16NOVA (106)vs CCRD: Female Trouble (298)Expected: -0.59, Actual: -0.48+6.9442.4Stats
05/14/16NOVA (192)vs York City (123)Expected: -0.31, Actual: 0.22+31.5435.4Stats
04/23/16NOVA (110)vs Southern Delaware (180)Expected: -0.13, Actual: -0.24-6.4403.9Stats
03/12/16NOVA (280)vs 301 Derby (184)Expected: 0.40, Actual: 0.21-11.6410.3Stats
02/20/16NOVA (282)vs Southern Maryland (102)Expected: 0.26, Actual: 0.47+12.4421.9Stats
12/05/15NOVA (120)vs DC: Capitol Offenders (186)Expected: -0.39, Actual: -0.22+9.0409.5Stats
11/07/15NOVA (185)vs DDR: Orange Crush (221)Expected: 0.03, Actual: -0.09-6.2400.5Stats
10/04/15NOVA (179)vs Southern Maryland (170)Expected: 0.29, Actual: 0.03-14.0406.7Stats
09/26/15NOVA (174)vs SRG: Wicomikazis (244)Expected: -0.29, Actual: -0.17+6.5420.7Stats
03/15/15NOVA (187)vs Reading (275)Expected: 0.07, Actual: -0.19-13.4414.2Stats
03/08/14NOVA (100)vs Atlantic Coast (290)Expected: -0.07, Actual: -0.49-21.8427.6Stats
04/27/13NOVA (119)vs Atlantic Coast (22)Expected: 0.61, Actual: 0.69+4.0449.4Stats
02/16/13NOVA (153)vs Blackwater (129)Expected: -0.14, Actual: 0.09+12.0445.3Stats
04/28/12NOVA (51)vs DC: Capitol Offenders (376)Expected: -0.45, Actual: -0.76-13.9433.4Stats
10/01/11NOVA (123)vs Free State (78)Actual: 0.22 447.3Stats
DateTeamsScoreIncoming
Ratings
ExpectedActualExpected
vs. Actual
ChangeNew
Ratings
11/02/19NOVA
Morgantown
197
106
488.2
449.8
0.230.30Expected: 0.23, Actual: 0.30+4.0
-4.0
492.3
445.8
Stats
09/14/19NOVA
Rocktown
188
149
484.6
464.7
0.050.12Expected: 0.05, Actual: 0.12+3.7
-3.7
488.2
461.0
Stats
09/07/19NOVA
Dominion
189
177
459.0
533.7
-0.400.03Expected: -0.40, Actual: 0.03+25.5
-25.5
484.6
508.2
Stats
08/17/19NOVA
Free State
106
238
468.7
522.7
-0.22-0.38Expected: -0.22, Actual: -0.38-9.7
+9.7
459.0
532.4
Stats
05/19/19NOVA
Diamond State
311
117
466.1
370.0
0.410.45Expected: 0.41, Actual: 0.45+2.6
-2.6
468.7
367.4
Stats
04/27/19NOVA
Fredericksburg
181
100
454.7
426.5
0.100.29Expected: 0.10, Actual: 0.29+11.5
-11.5
466.1
415.0
Stats
10/20/18NOVA
CDD: Belmont Bruisers
150
387
449.9
556.4
-0.52-0.44Expected: -0.52, Actual: -0.44+4.7
-4.7
454.7
551.7
Stats
07/15/18NOVA
Diamond State
318
97
437.9
372.2
0.330.53Expected: 0.33, Actual: 0.53+12.0
-12.0
449.9
360.2
Stats
07/14/18NOVA
BRD: Brawlers
168
323
455.0
457.8
-0.03-0.32Expected: -0.03, Actual: -0.32-17.0
+17.0
437.9
474.9
Stats
06/16/18NOVA
FSRD: Rock Villains
260
127
432.6
448.0
-0.030.34Expected: -0.03, Actual: 0.34+22.4
-22.4
455.0
425.6
Stats
05/12/18NOVA
Southern Maryland
230
142
430.9
397.5
0.210.24Expected: 0.21, Actual: 0.24+1.7
-1.7
432.6
395.9
Stats
04/21/18NOVA
Southern Delaware
142
191
435.7
440.2
-0.07-0.15Expected: -0.07, Actual: -0.15-4.7
+4.7
430.9
444.9
Stats
09/23/17NOVA
Morgantown
107
246
441.8
492.8
-0.29-0.39Expected: -0.29, Actual: -0.39-6.1
+6.1
435.7
498.9
Stats
07/15/17NOVA
Fredericksburg
137
188
442.7
480.1
-0.14-0.16Expected: -0.14, Actual: -0.16-0.9
+0.9
441.8
481.1
Stats
05/20/17NOVA
Rocktown
183
172
441.6
448.1
0.010.03Expected: 0.01, Actual: 0.03+1.1
-1.1
442.7
447.0
Stats
05/13/17NOVA
301 Derby
164
155
458.4
385.5
0.310.03Expected: 0.31, Actual: 0.03-16.7
+16.7
441.6
402.2
Stats
04/22/17NOVA
Diamond State
218
61
446.8
378.4
0.370.56Expected: 0.37, Actual: 0.56+11.5
-11.5
458.4
366.8
Stats
03/18/17NOVA
York City
154
134
429.3
483.8
-0.220.07Expected: -0.22, Actual: 0.07+17.5
-17.5
446.8
466.4
Stats
12/04/16NOVA
Mother State
30
436
436.1
643.4
-0.76-0.87Expected: -0.76, Actual: -0.87-6.8
+6.8
429.3
650.1
Stats
11/06/16NOVA
River City
73
287
452.1
510.7
-0.33-0.59Expected: -0.33, Actual: -0.59-16.0
+16.0
436.1
526.7
Stats
10/16/16NOVA
Reading
148
218
442.4
507.5
-0.35-0.19Expected: -0.35, Actual: -0.19+9.7
-9.7
452.1
497.8
Stats
07/09/16NOVA
CCRD: Female Trouble
106
298
435.4
562.5
-0.59-0.48Expected: -0.59, Actual: -0.48+6.9
-6.9
442.4
555.5
Stats
05/14/16NOVA
York City
192
123
403.9
477.0
-0.310.22Expected: -0.31, Actual: 0.22+31.5
-31.5
435.4
445.5
Stats
04/23/16NOVA
Southern Delaware
110
180
410.3
446.3
-0.13-0.24Expected: -0.13, Actual: -0.24-6.4
+6.4
403.9
452.7
Stats
03/12/16NOVA
301 Derby
280
184
421.9
345.7
0.400.21Expected: 0.40, Actual: 0.21-11.6
+11.6
410.3
357.3
Stats
02/20/16NOVA
Southern Maryland
282
102
409.5
365.1
0.260.47Expected: 0.26, Actual: 0.47+12.4
-12.4
421.9
352.7
Stats
12/05/15NOVA
DC: Capitol Offenders
120
186
400.5
491.3
-0.39-0.22Expected: -0.39, Actual: -0.22+9.0
-9.0
409.5
482.3
Stats
11/07/15NOVA
DDR: Orange Crush
185
221
406.7
391.8
0.03-0.09Expected: 0.03, Actual: -0.09-6.2
+6.2
400.5
397.9
Stats
10/04/15NOVA
Southern Maryland
179
170
420.7
351.0
0.290.03Expected: 0.29, Actual: 0.03-14.0
+14.0
406.7
365.1
Stats
09/26/15NOVA
SRG: Wicomikazis
174
244
414.2
465.4
-0.29-0.17Expected: -0.29, Actual: -0.17+6.5
-6.5
420.7
458.9
Stats
03/15/15NOVA
Reading
187
275
427.6
405.4
0.07-0.19Expected: 0.07, Actual: -0.19-13.4
+13.4
414.2
418.8
Stats
03/08/14NOVA
Atlantic Coast
100
290
449.4
454.6
-0.07-0.49Expected: -0.07, Actual: -0.49-21.8
+21.8
427.6
476.3
Stats
04/27/13NOVA
Atlantic Coast
119
22
445.3
312.3
0.610.69Expected: 0.61, Actual: 0.69+4.0
-4.0
449.4
308.3
Stats
02/16/13NOVA
Blackwater
153
129
433.4
471.3
-0.140.09Expected: -0.14, Actual: 0.09+12.0
-12.0
445.3
459.3
Stats
04/28/12NOVA
DC: Capitol Offenders
51
376
447.3
529.5
-0.45-0.76Expected: -0.45, Actual: -0.76-13.9
+13.9
433.4
543.4
Stats
10/01/11NOVA
Free State
123
78
[unranked]
[unranked]
0.22Actual: 0.22 
 
447.3
435.9
Stats