DateThis TeamOpponentExpected
vs. Actual
ChangeNew Rating
05/07/23NOVA (110)vs Harrisburg (209)Expected: 0.01, Actual: -0.31-18.8508.3Stats
04/01/23NOVA (261)vs Free State (107)Expected: -0.15, Actual: 0.42+33.9527.1Stats
10/16/22NOVA (199)vs Frederick (191)Expected: 0.01, Actual: 0.02+0.7493.2Stats
11/02/19NOVA (197)vs Morgantown (106)Expected: 0.23, Actual: 0.30+4.1492.6Stats
09/14/19NOVA (188)vs Rocktown (149)Expected: 0.05, Actual: 0.12+3.7488.5Stats
09/07/19NOVA (189)vs Dominion (177)Expected: -0.40, Actual: 0.03+25.5484.8Stats
08/17/19NOVA (106)vs Free State (238)Expected: -0.22, Actual: -0.38-9.7459.3Stats
05/19/19NOVA (311)vs Diamond State (117)Expected: 0.41, Actual: 0.45+2.5469.0Stats
04/27/19NOVA (181)vs Fredericksburg (100)Expected: 0.09, Actual: 0.29+11.6466.4Stats
10/20/18NOVA (150)vs CDD: Belmont Bruisers (387)Expected: -0.52, Actual: -0.44+4.8454.8Stats
07/15/18NOVA (318)vs Diamond State (97)Expected: 0.33, Actual: 0.53+12.0450.0Stats
07/14/18NOVA (168)vs BRD: Brawlers (323)Expected: -0.03, Actual: -0.32-17.0438.0Stats
06/16/18NOVA (260)vs FSRD: Rock Villains (127)Expected: -0.03, Actual: 0.34+22.4455.1Stats
05/12/18NOVA (230)vs Southern Maryland (142)Expected: 0.21, Actual: 0.24+1.6432.7Stats
04/21/18NOVA (142)vs Southern Delaware (191)Expected: -0.07, Actual: -0.15-4.8431.0Stats
09/23/17NOVA (107)vs Morgantown (246)Expected: -0.29, Actual: -0.39-6.1435.8Stats
07/15/17NOVA (137)vs Fredericksburg (188)Expected: -0.14, Actual: -0.16-0.9441.9Stats
05/20/17NOVA (183)vs Rocktown (172)Expected: 0.01, Actual: 0.03+1.1442.8Stats
05/13/17NOVA (164)vs 301 Derby (155)Expected: 0.31, Actual: 0.03-16.7441.7Stats
04/22/17NOVA (218)vs Diamond State (61)Expected: 0.37, Actual: 0.56+11.5458.4Stats
03/18/17NOVA (154)vs York City (134)Expected: -0.22, Actual: 0.07+17.5446.9Stats
12/04/16NOVA (30)vs Mother State (436)Expected: -0.76, Actual: -0.87-6.7429.4Stats
11/06/16NOVA (73)vs River City (287)Expected: -0.33, Actual: -0.59-16.0436.2Stats
10/16/16NOVA (148)vs Reading (218)Expected: -0.35, Actual: -0.19+9.7452.2Stats
07/09/16NOVA (106)vs CCRD: Female Trouble (298)Expected: -0.59, Actual: -0.48+7.0442.4Stats
05/14/16NOVA (192)vs York City (123)Expected: -0.31, Actual: 0.22+31.5435.5Stats
04/23/16NOVA (110)vs Southern Delaware (180)Expected: -0.13, Actual: -0.24-6.4403.9Stats
03/12/16NOVA (280)vs 301 Derby (184)Expected: 0.40, Actual: 0.21-11.6410.3Stats
02/20/16NOVA (282)vs Southern Maryland (102)Expected: 0.26, Actual: 0.47+12.4421.9Stats
12/05/15NOVA (120)vs DC: Capitol Offenders (186)Expected: -0.39, Actual: -0.22+9.0409.5Stats
11/07/15NOVA (185)vs DDR: Orange Crush (221)Expected: 0.03, Actual: -0.09-6.2400.5Stats
10/04/15NOVA (179)vs Southern Maryland (170)Expected: 0.29, Actual: 0.03-14.0406.7Stats
09/26/15NOVA (174)vs SRG: Wicomikazis (244)Expected: -0.29, Actual: -0.17+6.6420.7Stats
03/15/15NOVA (187)vs Reading (275)Expected: 0.07, Actual: -0.19-13.4414.2Stats
03/08/14NOVA (100)vs Atlantic Coast (290)Expected: -0.07, Actual: -0.49-21.8427.6Stats
04/27/13NOVA (119)vs Atlantic Coast (22)Expected: 0.61, Actual: 0.69+4.0449.4Stats
02/16/13NOVA (153)vs Blackwater (129)Expected: -0.14, Actual: 0.09+11.9445.4Stats
04/28/12NOVA (51)vs DC: Capitol Offenders (376)Expected: -0.45, Actual: -0.76-13.9433.4Stats
10/01/11NOVA (123)vs Free State (78)Actual: 0.22 447.4Stats
DateTeamsScoreIncoming
Ratings
ExpectedActualExpected
vs. Actual
ChangeNew
Ratings
05/07/23NOVA
Harrisburg
110
209
527.1
517.0
0.01-0.31Expected: 0.01, Actual: -0.31-18.8
+18.8
508.3
535.8
Stats
04/01/23NOVA
Free State
261
107
493.2
532.6
-0.150.42Expected: -0.15, Actual: 0.42+33.9
-33.9
527.1
498.7
Stats
10/16/22NOVA
Frederick
199
191
492.6
499.7
0.010.02Expected: 0.01, Actual: 0.02+0.7
-0.7
493.2
499.0
Stats
11/02/19NOVA
Morgantown
197
106
488.5
450.3
0.230.30Expected: 0.23, Actual: 0.30+4.1
-4.1
492.6
446.2
Stats
09/14/19NOVA
Rocktown
188
149
484.8
465.0
0.050.12Expected: 0.05, Actual: 0.12+3.7
-3.7
488.5
461.3
Stats
09/07/19NOVA
Dominion
189
177
459.3
533.8
-0.400.03Expected: -0.40, Actual: 0.03+25.5
-25.5
484.8
508.3
Stats
08/17/19NOVA
Free State
106
238
469.0
522.9
-0.22-0.38Expected: -0.22, Actual: -0.38-9.7
+9.7
459.3
532.6
Stats
05/19/19NOVA
Diamond State
311
117
466.4
370.1
0.410.45Expected: 0.41, Actual: 0.45+2.5
-2.5
469.0
367.6
Stats
04/27/19NOVA
Fredericksburg
181
100
454.8
427.1
0.090.29Expected: 0.09, Actual: 0.29+11.6
-11.6
466.4
415.5
Stats
10/20/18NOVA
CDD: Belmont Bruisers
150
387
450.0
556.7
-0.52-0.44Expected: -0.52, Actual: -0.44+4.8
-4.8
454.8
551.9
Stats
07/15/18NOVA
Diamond State
318
97
438.0
372.3
0.330.53Expected: 0.33, Actual: 0.53+12.0
-12.0
450.0
360.3
Stats
07/14/18NOVA
BRD: Brawlers
168
323
455.1
458.0
-0.03-0.32Expected: -0.03, Actual: -0.32-17.0
+17.0
438.0
475.0
Stats
06/16/18NOVA
FSRD: Rock Villains
260
127
432.7
448.0
-0.030.34Expected: -0.03, Actual: 0.34+22.4
-22.4
455.1
425.7
Stats
05/12/18NOVA
Southern Maryland
230
142
431.0
397.6
0.210.24Expected: 0.21, Actual: 0.24+1.6
-1.6
432.7
396.0
Stats
04/21/18NOVA
Southern Delaware
142
191
435.8
440.3
-0.07-0.15Expected: -0.07, Actual: -0.15-4.8
+4.8
431.0
445.0
Stats
09/23/17NOVA
Morgantown
107
246
441.9
493.0
-0.29-0.39Expected: -0.29, Actual: -0.39-6.1
+6.1
435.8
499.0
Stats
07/15/17NOVA
Fredericksburg
137
188
442.8
480.2
-0.14-0.16Expected: -0.14, Actual: -0.16-0.9
+0.9
441.9
481.2
Stats
05/20/17NOVA
Rocktown
183
172
441.7
448.2
0.010.03Expected: 0.01, Actual: 0.03+1.1
-1.1
442.8
447.1
Stats
05/13/17NOVA
301 Derby
164
155
458.4
385.5
0.310.03Expected: 0.31, Actual: 0.03-16.7
+16.7
441.7
402.3
Stats
04/22/17NOVA
Diamond State
218
61
446.9
378.4
0.370.56Expected: 0.37, Actual: 0.56+11.5
-11.5
458.4
366.9
Stats
03/18/17NOVA
York City
154
134
429.4
483.9
-0.220.07Expected: -0.22, Actual: 0.07+17.5
-17.5
446.9
466.4
Stats
12/04/16NOVA
Mother State
30
436
436.2
643.7
-0.76-0.87Expected: -0.76, Actual: -0.87-6.7
+6.7
429.4
650.5
Stats
11/06/16NOVA
River City
73
287
452.2
510.8
-0.33-0.59Expected: -0.33, Actual: -0.59-16.0
+16.0
436.2
526.8
Stats
10/16/16NOVA
Reading
148
218
442.4
507.5
-0.35-0.19Expected: -0.35, Actual: -0.19+9.7
-9.7
452.2
497.8
Stats
07/09/16NOVA
CCRD: Female Trouble
106
298
435.5
562.7
-0.59-0.48Expected: -0.59, Actual: -0.48+7.0
-7.0
442.4
555.7
Stats
05/14/16NOVA
York City
192
123
403.9
477.1
-0.310.22Expected: -0.31, Actual: 0.22+31.5
-31.5
435.5
445.5
Stats
04/23/16NOVA
Southern Delaware
110
180
410.3
446.4
-0.13-0.24Expected: -0.13, Actual: -0.24-6.4
+6.4
403.9
452.8
Stats
03/12/16NOVA
301 Derby
280
184
421.9
345.8
0.400.21Expected: 0.40, Actual: 0.21-11.6
+11.6
410.3
357.4
Stats
02/20/16NOVA
Southern Maryland
282
102
409.5
365.1
0.260.47Expected: 0.26, Actual: 0.47+12.4
-12.4
421.9
352.7
Stats
12/05/15NOVA
DC: Capitol Offenders
120
186
400.5
491.4
-0.39-0.22Expected: -0.39, Actual: -0.22+9.0
-9.0
409.5
482.4
Stats
11/07/15NOVA
DDR: Orange Crush
185
221
406.7
391.8
0.03-0.09Expected: 0.03, Actual: -0.09-6.2
+6.2
400.5
398.0
Stats
10/04/15NOVA
Southern Maryland
179
170
420.7
351.1
0.290.03Expected: 0.29, Actual: 0.03-14.0
+14.0
406.7
365.1
Stats
09/26/15NOVA
SRG: Wicomikazis
174
244
414.2
465.5
-0.29-0.17Expected: -0.29, Actual: -0.17+6.6
-6.6
420.7
459.0
Stats
03/15/15NOVA
Reading
187
275
427.6
405.4
0.07-0.19Expected: 0.07, Actual: -0.19-13.4
+13.4
414.2
418.8
Stats
03/08/14NOVA
Atlantic Coast
100
290
449.4
454.5
-0.07-0.49Expected: -0.07, Actual: -0.49-21.8
+21.8
427.6
476.3
Stats
04/27/13NOVA
Atlantic Coast
119
22
445.4
312.3
0.610.69Expected: 0.61, Actual: 0.69+4.0
-4.0
449.4
308.2
Stats
02/16/13NOVA
Blackwater
153
129
433.4
471.3
-0.140.09Expected: -0.14, Actual: 0.09+11.9
-11.9
445.4
459.3
Stats
04/28/12NOVA
DC: Capitol Offenders
51
376
447.4
529.5
-0.45-0.76Expected: -0.45, Actual: -0.76-13.9
+13.9
433.4
543.5
Stats
10/01/11NOVA
Free State
123
78
[unranked]
[unranked]
0.22Actual: 0.22 
 
447.4
436.0
Stats