DateThis TeamOpponentExpected
vs. Actual
ChangeNew Rating
02/07/15Black Heart Maidens (134)vs Bath City (171)Expected: 0.02, Actual: -0.12-6.8550.6Stats
10/25/14Black Heart Maidens (174)vs KDD: Killa Crew (182)Expected: -0.38, Actual: -0.02+17.2557.4Stats
07/26/14Black Heart Maidens (191)vs TCRD: Cherry Bombs (125)Expected: 0.43, Actual: 0.21-10.3540.2Stats
03/15/14Black Heart Maidens (300)vs Renegade Rollitia (105)Expected: 0.29, Actual: 0.48+9.1550.5Stats
03/08/14Black Heart Maidens (117)vs Oakland County (288)Expected: -0.20, Actual: -0.42-10.7541.4Stats
02/22/14Black Heart Maidens (141)vs East Lansing (191)Expected: 0.03, Actual: -0.15-8.8552.1Stats
02/01/14Black Heart Maidens (134)vs Battle Creek (271)Expected: 0.13, Actual: -0.34-22.3560.9Stats
10/12/13Black Heart Maidens (307)vs Renegade Rollitia (85)Expected: 0.34, Actual: 0.57+10.9583.2Stats
03/30/13Black Heart Maidens (208)vs Renegade Rollitia (167)Expected: 0.18, Actual: 0.11-3.5572.3Stats
02/23/13Black Heart Maidens (202)vs Central Michigan (122)Expected: 0.38, Actual: 0.25-6.2575.8Stats
02/09/13Black Heart Maidens (333)vs Mid Michigan Derby (106)Expected: 0.09, Actual: 0.52+20.3582.0Stats
10/20/12Black Heart Maidens (247)vs Renegade Rollitia (115)Actual: 0.36 561.8Stats
08/11/12Black Heart Maidens (223)vs Battle Creek (195)Expected: 0.15, Actual: 0.07-3.8561.8Stats
07/14/12Black Heart Maidens (83)vs Ann Arbor (203)Expected: -0.12, Actual: -0.42-14.2565.5Stats
05/12/12Black Heart Maidens (202)vs Traverse City (80)Expected: 0.23, Actual: 0.43+9.8579.7Stats
03/10/12Black Heart Maidens (79)vs Floral City (153)Expected: 0.18, Actual: -0.32-24.0569.9Stats
01/21/12Black Heart Maidens (101)vs Kalamazoo (103)Expected: -0.45, Actual: -0.01+21.1593.8Stats
11/26/11Black Heart Maidens (166)vs Battle Creek (62)Expected: 0.08, Actual: 0.46+17.9572.8Stats
11/19/11Black Heart Maidens (123)vs GRRD: Assault (79)Actual: 0.22 554.9Stats
10/22/11Black Heart Maidens (110)vs Jack Town (119)Expected: -0.08, Actual: -0.04+2.1554.9Stats
09/24/11Black Heart Maidens (166)vs Ann Arbor (99)Expected: 0.39, Actual: 0.25-6.4552.7Stats
06/18/11Black Heart Maidens (100)vs Flint City (149)Expected: -0.08, Actual: -0.20-5.5559.1Stats
05/07/11Black Heart Maidens (75)vs Blue Water (192)Expected: 0.15, Actual: -0.44-28.1564.6Stats
11/20/10Black Heart Maidens (139)vs Traverse City (42)Actual: 0.54 592.7Stats
DateTeamsScoreIncoming
Ratings
ExpectedActualExpected
vs. Actual
ChangeNew
Ratings
02/07/15Black Heart Maidens
Bath City
134
171
557.4
542.5
0.02-0.12Expected: 0.02, Actual: -0.12-6.8
+6.8
550.6
549.3
Stats
10/25/14Black Heart Maidens
KDD: Killa Crew
174
182
540.2
610.7
-0.38-0.02Expected: -0.38, Actual: -0.02+17.2
-17.2
557.4
593.4
Stats
07/26/14Black Heart Maidens
TCRD: Cherry Bombs
191
125
550.5
448.9
0.430.21Expected: 0.43, Actual: 0.21-10.3
+10.3
540.2
459.3
Stats
03/15/14Black Heart Maidens
Renegade Rollitia
300
105
541.4
471.1
0.290.48Expected: 0.29, Actual: 0.48+9.1
-9.1
550.5
462.0
Stats
03/08/14Black Heart Maidens
Oakland County
117
288
552.1
581.6
-0.20-0.42Expected: -0.20, Actual: -0.42-10.7
+10.7
541.4
592.3
Stats
02/22/14Black Heart Maidens
East Lansing
141
191
560.9
543.5
0.03-0.15Expected: 0.03, Actual: -0.15-8.8
+8.8
552.1
552.3
Stats
02/01/14Black Heart Maidens
Battle Creek
134
271
583.2
546.5
0.13-0.34Expected: 0.13, Actual: -0.34-22.3
+22.3
560.9
568.8
Stats
10/12/13Black Heart Maidens
Renegade Rollitia
307
85
572.3
512.7
0.340.57Expected: 0.34, Actual: 0.57+10.9
-10.9
583.2
501.8
Stats
03/30/13Black Heart Maidens
Renegade Rollitia
208
167
575.8
528.2
0.180.11Expected: 0.18, Actual: 0.11-3.5
+3.5
572.3
531.7
Stats
02/23/13Black Heart Maidens
Central Michigan
202
122
582.0
492.3
0.380.25Expected: 0.38, Actual: 0.25-6.2
+6.2
575.8
498.4
Stats
02/09/13Black Heart Maidens
Mid Michigan Derby
333
106
561.8
532.8
0.090.52Expected: 0.09, Actual: 0.52+20.3
-20.3
582.0
512.6
Stats
10/20/12Black Heart Maidens
Renegade Rollitia
247
115
561.8
[unranked]
0.36Actual: 0.36 
 
561.8
540.0
Stats
08/11/12Black Heart Maidens
Battle Creek
223
195
565.5
546.6
0.150.07Expected: 0.15, Actual: 0.07-3.8
+3.8
561.8
550.3
Stats
07/14/12Black Heart Maidens
Ann Arbor
83
203
579.7
593.7
-0.12-0.42Expected: -0.12, Actual: -0.42-14.2
+14.2
565.5
607.9
Stats
05/12/12Black Heart Maidens
Traverse City
202
80
569.9
513.3
0.230.43Expected: 0.23, Actual: 0.43+9.8
-9.8
579.7
503.5
Stats
03/10/12Black Heart Maidens
Floral City
79
153
593.8
546.0
0.18-0.32Expected: 0.18, Actual: -0.32-24.0
+24.0
569.9
570.0
Stats
01/21/12Black Heart Maidens
Kalamazoo
101
103
572.8
659.7
-0.45-0.01Expected: -0.45, Actual: -0.01+21.1
-21.1
593.8
638.6
Stats
11/26/11Black Heart Maidens
Battle Creek
166
62
554.9
522.8
0.080.46Expected: 0.08, Actual: 0.46+17.9
-17.9
572.8
504.9
Stats
11/19/11Black Heart Maidens
GRRD: Assault
123
79
554.9
[unranked]
0.22Actual: 0.22 
 
554.9
535.0
Stats
10/22/11Black Heart Maidens
Jack Town
110
119
552.7
553.7
-0.08-0.04Expected: -0.08, Actual: -0.04+2.1
-2.1
554.9
551.5
Stats
09/24/11Black Heart Maidens
Ann Arbor
166
99
559.1
493.5
0.390.25Expected: 0.39, Actual: 0.25-6.4
+6.4
552.7
499.9
Stats
06/18/11Black Heart Maidens
Flint City
100
149
564.6
564.9
-0.08-0.20Expected: -0.08, Actual: -0.20-5.5
+5.5
559.1
570.4
Stats
05/07/11Black Heart Maidens
Blue Water
75
192
592.7
546.1
0.15-0.44Expected: 0.15, Actual: -0.44-28.1
+28.1
564.6
574.2
Stats
11/20/10Black Heart Maidens
Traverse City
139
42
[unranked]
[unranked]
0.54Actual: 0.54 
 
592.7
564.8
Stats