DateThis TeamOpponentExpected
vs. Actual
ChangeNew Rating
04/27/19NRD: Third Alarm (240)vs CCDG: Party Crashers (104)Expected: 0.08, Actual: 0.40+18.7459.2Stats
04/13/19NRD: Third Alarm (62)vs Punishers (213)Expected: -0.22, Actual: -0.55-19.6440.5Stats
02/10/19NRD: Third Alarm (88)vs Terrorz (90)Expected: 0.38, Actual: -0.01-23.2460.1Stats
07/21/18NRD: Third Alarm (207)vs DRD: Downriver Doll Stars B (189)Expected: -0.19, Actual: 0.05+14.1483.3Stats
06/23/18NRD: Third Alarm (157)vs ROCK (173)Expected: -0.09, Actual: -0.05+2.4469.1Stats
04/21/18NRD: Third Alarm (270)vs Illiana (70)Expected: 0.45, Actual: 0.59+8.1466.7Stats
02/25/18NRD: Third Alarm (289)vs CFDD: Muncie MissFits (165)Expected: -0.06, Actual: 0.27+19.7458.6Stats
09/09/17NRD: Third Alarm (118)vs QCR: Mississippi Massacre (188)Expected: -0.03, Actual: -0.23-11.6438.9Stats
08/19/17NRD: Third Alarm (101)vs South Bend (160)Expected: -0.18, Actual: -0.23-2.6450.5Stats
08/05/17NRD: Third Alarm (178)vs DDD: Onslaught (238)Expected: 0.09, Actual: -0.14-13.8453.1Stats
06/03/17NRD: Third Alarm (226)vs Dire Skates (171)Expected: 0.21, Actual: 0.14-4.2466.9Stats
04/22/17NRD: Third Alarm (170)vs Quad City Rollers (136)Expected: -0.30, Actual: 0.11+24.7471.1Stats
04/01/17NRD: Third Alarm (152)vs Kokomo (169)Expected: 0.02, Actual: -0.05-4.1446.4Stats
07/24/16NRD: Third Alarm (206)vs MidState Mayhem (154)Expected: -0.05, Actual: 0.14+11.8450.4Stats
07/09/16NRD: Third Alarm (150)vs CFDD: Muncie MissFits (183)Expected: 0.12, Actual: -0.10-13.2438.6Stats
06/05/16NRD: Third Alarm (103)vs Lafayette (157)Expected: -0.16, Actual: -0.21-3.1451.8Stats
05/21/16NRD: Third Alarm (169)vs BHRD: Code Blue Assassins (203)Expected: 0.07, Actual: -0.09-9.8454.8Stats
07/25/15NRD: Third Alarm (282)vs Kokomo (142)Expected: 0.29, Actual: 0.33+1.9464.6Stats
05/30/15NRD: Third Alarm (110)vs ROCK (202)Expected: 0.21, Actual: -0.29-26.4462.7Stats
05/09/15NRD: Third Alarm (317)vs A-Town (83)Expected: 0.55, Actual: 0.59+1.8489.1Stats
03/22/15NRD: Third Alarm (247)vs Bone City (58)Expected: 0.32, Actual: 0.62+15.8487.3Stats
08/09/14NRD: Third Alarm (204)vs Gem City (175)Expected: -0.41, Actual: 0.08+25.3471.5Stats
07/12/14NRD: Third Alarm (82)vs Terrorz (328)Expected: -0.27, Actual: -0.60-17.3446.1Stats
06/28/14NRD: Third Alarm (73)vs SBRG: Bonnie Dooms (216)Expected: -0.06, Actual: -0.49-22.6463.4Stats
05/10/14NRD: Third Alarm (130)vs DCRD: Destruction Dames (196)Expected: 0.29, Actual: -0.20-25.9486.0Stats
03/08/14NRD: Third Alarm (121)vs Lafayette (226)Expected: 0.15, Actual: -0.30-23.5511.8Stats
07/20/13NRD: Third Alarm (238)vs ROCK (153)Expected: 0.34, Actual: 0.22-6.3535.4Stats
06/16/13NRD: Third Alarm (172)vs Cornfed (145)Expected: 0.08, Actual: 0.09+0.0541.7Stats
05/11/13NRD: Third Alarm (122)vs Ann Arbor (270)Expected: -0.07, Actual: -0.38-16.0541.7Stats
03/23/13NRD: Third Alarm (206)vs Quad City Rollers (187)Expected: 0.30, Actual: 0.05-13.2557.7Stats
03/02/13NRD: Third Alarm (216)vs DCRD: Destruction Dames (96)Expected: -0.05, Actual: 0.38+22.6570.9Stats
02/24/13NRD: Third Alarm (169)vs FWDG: SWAT team (164)Expected: 0.25, Actual: 0.02-12.4548.3Stats
08/25/12NRD: Third Alarm (183)vs Little Steel Derby Girls (90)Expected: 0.33, Actual: 0.34+0.4560.7Stats
05/26/12NRD: Third Alarm (208)vs VCRD: Bowling Green Hot Broads (89)Expected: 0.12, Actual: 0.40+12.4560.3Stats
05/19/12NRD: Third Alarm (168)vs Lafayette (51)Expected: 0.37, Actual: 0.53+7.1548.0Stats
04/14/12NRD: Third Alarm (185)vs Cornfed (76)Expected: 0.16, Actual: 0.42+11.4540.9Stats
02/11/12NRD: Third Alarm (116)vs South Bend (121)Expected: 0.03, Actual: -0.02-2.3529.5Stats
02/04/12NRD: Third Alarm (95)vs BCB: Battlestars (111)Expected: -0.31, Actual: -0.08+10.1531.8Stats
02/04/12NRD: Third Alarm (135)vs BHRD: Code Blue Assassins (131)Expected: -0.31, Actual: 0.02+14.5521.7Stats
02/04/12NRD: Third Alarm (147)vs BBRG: Shiners (136)Expected: 0.11, Actual: 0.04-3.0507.1Stats
01/07/12NRD: Third Alarm (100)vs DCRD: Destruction Dames (149)Expected: 0.14, Actual: -0.20-14.7510.1Stats
10/15/11NRD: Third Alarm (239)vs Quad City Rollers (82)Expected: 0.20, Actual: 0.49+12.7524.8Stats
09/17/11NRD: Third Alarm (118)vs VCRD: Bowling Green Hot Broads (90)Expected: 0.02, Actual: 0.13+5.0512.1Stats
08/20/11NRD: Third Alarm (151)vs BBRG: Shiners (96)Expected: -0.07, Actual: 0.22+12.8507.1Stats
07/30/11NRD: Third Alarm (46)vs Rubber City (142)Expected: 0.02, Actual: -0.51-23.6494.3Stats
07/24/11NRD: Third Alarm (160)vs Cornfed (116)Expected: 0.14, Actual: 0.16+0.6517.9Stats
06/11/11NRD: Third Alarm (171)vs Radioactive City (79)Expected: 0.24, Actual: 0.37+5.9517.3Stats
06/05/11NRD: Third Alarm (128)vs CINC: Flock Ewes (131)Actual: -0.01 511.4Stats
04/02/11NRD: Third Alarm (117)vs Rubber City (178)Expected: 0.19, Actual: -0.21-17.6511.4Stats
03/05/11NRD: Third Alarm (97)vs PVRG: Flying Squirrels (94)Expected: 0.35, Actual: 0.02-14.9528.9Stats
02/12/11NRD: Third Alarm (170)vs Chippewa Valley (55)Expected: 0.60, Actual: 0.51-3.8543.9Stats
09/18/10NRD: Third Alarm (107)vs RCRG: Hot Rod Dollies (75)Expected: 0.20, Actual: 0.18-0.9547.7Stats
07/17/10NRD: Third Alarm (117)vs Rockford (122)Expected: -0.00, Actual: -0.02-0.8548.7Stats
05/01/10NRD: Third Alarm (80)vs ARD: Audio Assault (38)Actual: 0.36 549.5Stats
DateTeamsScoreIncoming
Ratings
ExpectedActualExpected
vs. Actual
ChangeNew
Ratings
04/27/19NRD: Third Alarm
CCDG: Party Crashers
240
104
440.5
415.0
0.080.40Expected: 0.08, Actual: 0.40+18.7
-18.7
459.2
396.3
Stats
04/13/19NRD: Third Alarm
Punishers
62
213
460.1
513.9
-0.22-0.55Expected: -0.22, Actual: -0.55-19.6
+19.6
440.5
533.5
Stats
02/10/19NRD: Third Alarm
Terrorz
88
90
483.3
412.8
0.38-0.01Expected: 0.38, Actual: -0.01-23.2
+23.2
460.1
436.0
Stats
07/21/18NRD: Third Alarm
DRD: Downriver Doll Stars B
207
189
469.1
499.0
-0.190.05Expected: -0.19, Actual: 0.05+14.1
-14.1
483.3
484.8
Stats
06/23/18NRD: Third Alarm
ROCK
157
173
466.7
493.6
-0.09-0.05Expected: -0.09, Actual: -0.05+2.4
-2.4
469.1
491.2
Stats
04/21/18NRD: Third Alarm
Illiana
270
70
458.6
370.2
0.450.59Expected: 0.45, Actual: 0.59+8.1
-8.1
466.7
362.1
Stats
02/25/18NRD: Third Alarm
CFDD: Muncie MissFits
289
165
438.9
441.4
-0.060.27Expected: -0.06, Actual: 0.27+19.7
-19.7
458.6
421.7
Stats
09/09/17NRD: Third Alarm
QCR: Mississippi Massacre
118
188
450.5
448.2
-0.03-0.23Expected: -0.03, Actual: -0.23-11.6
+11.6
438.9
459.9
Stats
08/19/17NRD: Third Alarm
South Bend
101
160
453.1
481.1
-0.18-0.23Expected: -0.18, Actual: -0.23-2.6
+2.6
450.5
483.7
Stats
08/05/17NRD: Third Alarm
DDD: Onslaught
178
238
466.9
440.4
0.09-0.14Expected: 0.09, Actual: -0.14-13.8
+13.8
453.1
454.2
Stats
06/03/17NRD: Third Alarm
Dire Skates
226
171
471.1
437.7
0.210.14Expected: 0.21, Actual: 0.14-4.2
+4.2
466.9
441.9
Stats
04/22/17NRD: Third Alarm
Quad City Rollers
170
136
446.4
518.0
-0.300.11Expected: -0.30, Actual: 0.11+24.7
-24.7
471.1
493.3
Stats
04/01/17NRD: Third Alarm
Kokomo
152
169
450.4
438.4
0.02-0.05Expected: 0.02, Actual: -0.05-4.1
+4.1
446.4
442.4
Stats
07/24/16NRD: Third Alarm
MidState Mayhem
206
154
438.6
440.3
-0.050.14Expected: -0.05, Actual: 0.14+11.8
-11.8
450.4
428.5
Stats
07/09/16NRD: Third Alarm
CFDD: Muncie MissFits
150
183
451.8
418.3
0.12-0.10Expected: 0.12, Actual: -0.10-13.2
+13.2
438.6
431.5
Stats
06/05/16NRD: Third Alarm
Lafayette
103
157
454.8
477.3
-0.16-0.21Expected: -0.16, Actual: -0.21-3.1
+3.1
451.8
480.4
Stats
05/21/16NRD: Third Alarm
BHRD: Code Blue Assassins
169
203
464.6
459.0
0.07-0.09Expected: 0.07, Actual: -0.09-9.8
+9.8
454.8
468.8
Stats
07/25/15NRD: Third Alarm
Kokomo
282
142
462.7
411.1
0.290.33Expected: 0.29, Actual: 0.33+1.9
-1.9
464.6
409.3
Stats
05/30/15NRD: Third Alarm
ROCK
110
202
489.1
437.6
0.21-0.29Expected: 0.21, Actual: -0.29-26.4
+26.4
462.7
464.0
Stats
05/09/15NRD: Third Alarm
A-Town
317
83
487.3
372.7
0.550.59Expected: 0.55, Actual: 0.59+1.8
-1.8
489.1
370.8
Stats
03/22/15NRD: Third Alarm
Bone City
247
58
471.5
414.7
0.320.62Expected: 0.32, Actual: 0.62+15.8
-15.8
487.3
398.9
Stats
08/09/14NRD: Third Alarm
Gem City
204
175
446.1
523.8
-0.410.08Expected: -0.41, Actual: 0.08+25.3
-25.3
471.5
498.4
Stats
07/12/14NRD: Third Alarm
Terrorz
82
328
463.4
527.8
-0.27-0.60Expected: -0.27, Actual: -0.60-17.3
+17.3
446.1
545.0
Stats
06/28/14NRD: Third Alarm
SBRG: Bonnie Dooms
73
216
486.0
489.7
-0.06-0.49Expected: -0.06, Actual: -0.49-22.6
+22.6
463.4
512.2
Stats
05/10/14NRD: Third Alarm
DCRD: Destruction Dames
130
196
511.8
442.6
0.29-0.20Expected: 0.29, Actual: -0.20-25.9
+25.9
486.0
468.5
Stats
03/08/14NRD: Third Alarm
Lafayette
121
226
535.4
496.6
0.15-0.30Expected: 0.15, Actual: -0.30-23.5
+23.5
511.8
520.2
Stats
07/20/13NRD: Third Alarm
ROCK
238
153
541.7
462.3
0.340.22Expected: 0.34, Actual: 0.22-6.3
+6.3
535.4
468.6
Stats
06/16/13NRD: Third Alarm
Cornfed
172
145
541.7
515.7
0.080.09Expected: 0.08, Actual: 0.09+0.0
-0.0
541.7
515.7
Stats
05/11/13NRD: Third Alarm
Ann Arbor
122
270
557.7
563.1
-0.07-0.38Expected: -0.07, Actual: -0.38-16.0
+16.0
541.7
579.1
Stats
03/23/13NRD: Third Alarm
Quad City Rollers
206
187
570.9
499.7
0.300.05Expected: 0.30, Actual: 0.05-13.2
+13.2
557.7
512.9
Stats
03/02/13NRD: Third Alarm
DCRD: Destruction Dames
216
96
548.3
548.8
-0.050.38Expected: -0.05, Actual: 0.38+22.6
-22.6
570.9
526.2
Stats
02/24/13NRD: Third Alarm
FWDG: SWAT team
169
164
560.7
500.1
0.250.02Expected: 0.25, Actual: 0.02-12.4
+12.4
548.3
512.5
Stats
08/25/12NRD: Third Alarm
Little Steel Derby Girls
183
90
560.3
477.2
0.330.34Expected: 0.33, Actual: 0.34+0.4
-0.4
560.7
476.9
Stats
05/26/12NRD: Third Alarm
VCRD: Bowling Green Hot Broads
208
89
548.0
509.6
0.120.40Expected: 0.12, Actual: 0.40+12.4
-12.4
560.3
497.2
Stats
05/19/12NRD: Third Alarm
Lafayette
168
51
540.9
448.3
0.370.53Expected: 0.37, Actual: 0.53+7.1
-7.1
548.0
441.2
Stats
04/14/12NRD: Third Alarm
Cornfed
185
76
529.5
483.4
0.160.42Expected: 0.16, Actual: 0.42+11.4
-11.4
540.9
471.9
Stats
02/11/12NRD: Third Alarm
South Bend
116
121
531.8
511.5
0.03-0.02Expected: 0.03, Actual: -0.02-2.3
+2.3
529.5
513.8
Stats
02/04/12NRD: Third Alarm
BCB: Battlestars
95
111
521.7
569.4
-0.31-0.08Expected: -0.31, Actual: -0.08+10.1
-10.1
531.8
559.3
Stats
02/04/12NRD: Third Alarm
BHRD: Code Blue Assassins
135
131
507.1
556.5
-0.310.02Expected: -0.31, Actual: 0.02+14.5
-14.5
521.7
542.0
Stats
02/04/12NRD: Third Alarm
BBRG: Shiners
147
136
510.1
473.5
0.110.04Expected: 0.11, Actual: 0.04-3.0
+3.0
507.1
476.4
Stats
01/07/12NRD: Third Alarm
DCRD: Destruction Dames
100
149
524.8
483.6
0.14-0.20Expected: 0.14, Actual: -0.20-14.7
+14.7
510.1
498.3
Stats
10/15/11NRD: Third Alarm
Quad City Rollers
239
82
512.1
457.2
0.200.49Expected: 0.20, Actual: 0.49+12.7
-12.7
524.8
444.4
Stats
09/17/11NRD: Third Alarm
VCRD: Bowling Green Hot Broads
118
90
507.1
488.7
0.020.13Expected: 0.02, Actual: 0.13+5.0
-5.0
512.1
483.7
Stats
08/20/11NRD: Third Alarm
BBRG: Shiners
151
96
494.3
493.7
-0.070.22Expected: -0.07, Actual: 0.22+12.8
-12.8
507.1
480.9
Stats
07/30/11NRD: Third Alarm
Rubber City
46
142
517.9
527.6
0.02-0.51Expected: 0.02, Actual: -0.51-23.6
+23.6
494.3
551.2
Stats
07/24/11NRD: Third Alarm
Cornfed
160
116
517.3
474.1
0.140.16Expected: 0.14, Actual: 0.16+0.6
-0.6
517.9
473.5
Stats
06/11/11NRD: Third Alarm
Radioactive City
171
79
511.4
449.5
0.240.37Expected: 0.24, Actual: 0.37+5.9
-5.9
517.3
443.6
Stats
06/05/11NRD: Third Alarm
CINC: Flock Ewes
128
131
511.4
[unranked]
-0.01Actual: -0.01 
 
511.4
507.8
Stats
04/02/11NRD: Third Alarm
Rubber City
117
178
528.9
476.6
0.19-0.21Expected: 0.19, Actual: -0.21-17.6
+17.6
511.4
494.2
Stats
03/05/11NRD: Third Alarm
PVRG: Flying Squirrels
97
94
543.9
456.2
0.350.02Expected: 0.35, Actual: 0.02-14.9
+14.9
528.9
471.1
Stats
02/12/11NRD: Third Alarm
Chippewa Valley
170
55
547.7
395.7
0.600.51Expected: 0.60, Actual: 0.51-3.8
+3.8
543.9
399.6
Stats
09/18/10NRD: Third Alarm
RCRG: Hot Rod Dollies
107
75
548.7
495.1
0.200.18Expected: 0.20, Actual: 0.18-0.9
+0.9
547.7
496.0
Stats
07/17/10NRD: Third Alarm
Rockford
117
122
549.5
536.2
-0.00-0.02Expected: -0.00, Actual: -0.02-0.8
+0.8
548.7
537.1
Stats
05/01/10NRD: Third Alarm
ARD: Audio Assault
80
38
[unranked]
522.1
0.36Actual: 0.36 
 
549.5
522.1
Stats