DateThis TeamOpponentExpected
vs. Actual		ChangeNew Rating
04/27/19NRD: Third Alarm (240)vs CCDG: Party Crashers (104)Expected: 0.08, Actual: 0.40+18.7459.2Stats
04/13/19NRD: Third Alarm (62)vs Punishers (213)Expected: -0.22, Actual: -0.55-19.6440.5Stats
02/10/19NRD: Third Alarm (88)vs Terrorz (90)Expected: 0.38, Actual: -0.01-23.2460.1Stats
07/21/18NRD: Third Alarm (207)vs DRD: Downriver Doll Stars B (189)Expected: -0.19, Actual: 0.05+14.1483.3Stats
06/23/18NRD: Third Alarm (157)vs ROCK (173)Expected: -0.09, Actual: -0.05+2.4469.1Stats
04/21/18NRD: Third Alarm (270)vs Illiana (70)Expected: 0.45, Actual: 0.59+8.1466.7Stats
02/25/18NRD: Third Alarm (289)vs CFDD: Muncie MissFits (165)Expected: -0.06, Actual: 0.27+19.7458.6Stats
09/09/17NRD: Third Alarm (118)vs QCR: Mississippi Massacre (188)Expected: -0.03, Actual: -0.23-11.6438.9Stats
08/19/17NRD: Third Alarm (101)vs South Bend (160)Expected: -0.18, Actual: -0.23-2.6450.5Stats
08/05/17NRD: Third Alarm (178)vs DDD: Onslaught (238)Expected: 0.09, Actual: -0.14-13.8453.1Stats
06/03/17NRD: Third Alarm (226)vs Dire Skates (171)Expected: 0.21, Actual: 0.14-4.2466.9Stats
04/22/17NRD: Third Alarm (170)vs Quad City Rollers (136)Expected: -0.30, Actual: 0.11+24.7471.1Stats
04/01/17NRD: Third Alarm (152)vs Kokomo (169)Expected: 0.02, Actual: -0.05-4.1446.4Stats
07/24/16NRD: Third Alarm (206)vs MidState Mayhem (154)Expected: -0.05, Actual: 0.14+11.8450.4Stats
07/09/16NRD: Third Alarm (150)vs CFDD: Muncie MissFits (183)Expected: 0.12, Actual: -0.10-13.2438.6Stats
06/05/16NRD: Third Alarm (103)vs Lafayette (157)Expected: -0.16, Actual: -0.21-3.1451.8Stats
05/21/16NRD: Third Alarm (169)vs BHRD: Code Blue Assassins (203)Expected: 0.07, Actual: -0.09-9.8454.8Stats
07/25/15NRD: Third Alarm (282)vs Kokomo (142)Expected: 0.29, Actual: 0.33+1.9464.6Stats
05/30/15NRD: Third Alarm (110)vs ROCK (202)Expected: 0.21, Actual: -0.29-26.4462.7Stats
05/09/15NRD: Third Alarm (317)vs A-Town (83)Expected: 0.55, Actual: 0.59+1.8489.1Stats
03/22/15NRD: Third Alarm (247)vs Bone City (58)Expected: 0.32, Actual: 0.62+15.8487.3Stats
08/09/14NRD: Third Alarm (204)vs Gem City (175)Expected: -0.41, Actual: 0.08+25.3471.5Stats
07/12/14NRD: Third Alarm (82)vs Terrorz (328)Expected: -0.27, Actual: -0.60-17.3446.1Stats
06/28/14NRD: Third Alarm (73)vs SBRG: Bonnie Dooms (216)Expected: -0.06, Actual: -0.49-22.6463.4Stats
05/10/14NRD: Third Alarm (130)vs DCRD: Destruction Dames (196)Expected: 0.29, Actual: -0.20-25.9486.0Stats
03/08/14NRD: Third Alarm (121)vs Lafayette (226)Expected: 0.15, Actual: -0.30-23.5511.8Stats
07/20/13NRD: Third Alarm (238)vs ROCK (153)Expected: 0.34, Actual: 0.22-6.3535.4Stats
06/16/13NRD: Third Alarm (172)vs Cornfed (145)Expected: 0.08, Actual: 0.09+0.0541.7Stats
05/11/13NRD: Third Alarm (122)vs Ann Arbor (270)Expected: -0.07, Actual: -0.38-16.0541.7Stats
03/23/13NRD: Third Alarm (206)vs Quad City Rollers (187)Expected: 0.30, Actual: 0.05-13.2557.7Stats
03/02/13NRD: Third Alarm (216)vs DCRD: Destruction Dames (96)Expected: -0.05, Actual: 0.38+22.6570.9Stats
02/24/13NRD: Third Alarm (169)vs FWDG: SWAT team (164)Expected: 0.25, Actual: 0.02-12.4548.3Stats
08/25/12NRD: Third Alarm (183)vs Little Steel Derby Girls (90)Expected: 0.33, Actual: 0.34+0.4560.7Stats
05/26/12NRD: Third Alarm (208)vs VCRD: Bowling Green Hot Broads (89)Expected: 0.12, Actual: 0.40+12.4560.3Stats
05/19/12NRD: Third Alarm (168)vs Lafayette (51)Expected: 0.37, Actual: 0.53+7.1548.0Stats
04/14/12NRD: Third Alarm (185)vs Cornfed (76)Expected: 0.16, Actual: 0.42+11.4540.9Stats
02/11/12NRD: Third Alarm (116)vs South Bend (121)Expected: 0.03, Actual: -0.02-2.3529.5Stats
02/04/12NRD: Third Alarm (95)vs BCB: Battlestars (111)Expected: -0.31, Actual: -0.08+10.1531.8Stats
02/04/12NRD: Third Alarm (135)vs BHRD: Code Blue Assassins (131)Expected: -0.31, Actual: 0.02+14.5521.7Stats
02/04/12NRD: Third Alarm (147)vs BBRG: Shiners (136)Expected: 0.11, Actual: 0.04-3.0507.1Stats
01/07/12NRD: Third Alarm (100)vs DCRD: Destruction Dames (149)Expected: 0.14, Actual: -0.20-14.7510.1Stats
10/15/11NRD: Third Alarm (239)vs Quad City Rollers (82)Expected: 0.20, Actual: 0.49+12.7524.8Stats
09/17/11NRD: Third Alarm (118)vs VCRD: Bowling Green Hot Broads (90)Expected: 0.02, Actual: 0.13+5.0512.1Stats
08/20/11NRD: Third Alarm (151)vs BBRG: Shiners (96)Expected: -0.07, Actual: 0.22+12.8507.1Stats
07/30/11NRD: Third Alarm (46)vs Rubber City (142)Expected: 0.02, Actual: -0.51-23.6494.3Stats
07/24/11NRD: Third Alarm (160)vs Cornfed (116)Expected: 0.14, Actual: 0.16+0.6517.9Stats
06/11/11NRD: Third Alarm (171)vs Radioactive City (79)Expected: 0.24, Actual: 0.37+5.9517.3Stats
06/05/11NRD: Third Alarm (128)vs CINC: Flock Ewes (131)Actual: -0.01 511.4Stats
04/02/11NRD: Third Alarm (117)vs Rubber City (178)Expected: 0.19, Actual: -0.21-17.6511.4Stats
03/05/11NRD: Third Alarm (97)vs PVRG: Flying Squirrels (94)Expected: 0.35, Actual: 0.02-14.9528.9Stats
02/12/11NRD: Third Alarm (170)vs Chippewa Valley (55)Expected: 0.60, Actual: 0.51-3.8543.9Stats
09/18/10NRD: Third Alarm (107)vs RCRG: Hot Rod Dollies (75)Expected: 0.20, Actual: 0.18-0.9547.7Stats
07/17/10NRD: Third Alarm (117)vs Rockford (122)Expected: -0.00, Actual: -0.02-0.8548.7Stats
05/01/10NRD: Third Alarm (80)vs ARD: Audio Assault (38)Actual: 0.36 549.5Stats
DateTeamsScoreIncoming
Ratings		ExpectedActualExpected
vs. Actual		ChangeNew
Ratings
04/27/19NRD: Third Alarm
CCDG: Party Crashers		240
104		440.5
415.0		0.080.40Expected: 0.08, Actual: 0.40+18.7
-18.7		459.2
396.3		Stats
04/13/19NRD: Third Alarm
Punishers		62
213		460.1
513.9		-0.22-0.55Expected: -0.22, Actual: -0.55-19.6
+19.6		440.5
533.5		Stats
02/10/19NRD: Third Alarm
Terrorz		88
90		483.3
412.8		0.38-0.01Expected: 0.38, Actual: -0.01-23.2
+23.2		460.1
436.0		Stats
07/21/18NRD: Third Alarm
DRD: Downriver Doll Stars B		207
189		469.1
499.0		-0.190.05Expected: -0.19, Actual: 0.05+14.1
-14.1		483.3
484.8		Stats
06/23/18NRD: Third Alarm
ROCK		157
173		466.7
493.6		-0.09-0.05Expected: -0.09, Actual: -0.05+2.4
-2.4		469.1
491.2		Stats
04/21/18NRD: Third Alarm
Illiana		270
70		458.6
370.2		0.450.59Expected: 0.45, Actual: 0.59+8.1
-8.1		466.7
362.1		Stats
02/25/18NRD: Third Alarm
CFDD: Muncie MissFits		289
165		438.9
441.4		-0.060.27Expected: -0.06, Actual: 0.27+19.7
-19.7		458.6
421.7		Stats
09/09/17NRD: Third Alarm
QCR: Mississippi Massacre		118
188		450.5
448.2		-0.03-0.23Expected: -0.03, Actual: -0.23-11.6
+11.6		438.9
459.9		Stats
08/19/17NRD: Third Alarm
South Bend		101
160		453.1
481.1		-0.18-0.23Expected: -0.18, Actual: -0.23-2.6
+2.6		450.5
483.7		Stats
08/05/17NRD: Third Alarm
DDD: Onslaught		178
238		466.9
440.4		0.09-0.14Expected: 0.09, Actual: -0.14-13.8
+13.8		453.1
454.2		Stats
06/03/17NRD: Third Alarm
Dire Skates		226
171		471.1
437.7		0.210.14Expected: 0.21, Actual: 0.14-4.2
+4.2		466.9
441.9		Stats
04/22/17NRD: Third Alarm
Quad City Rollers		170
136		446.4
518.0		-0.300.11Expected: -0.30, Actual: 0.11+24.7
-24.7		471.1
493.3		Stats
04/01/17NRD: Third Alarm
Kokomo		152
169		450.4
438.4		0.02-0.05Expected: 0.02, Actual: -0.05-4.1
+4.1		446.4
442.4		Stats
07/24/16NRD: Third Alarm
MidState Mayhem		206
154		438.6
440.3		-0.050.14Expected: -0.05, Actual: 0.14+11.8
-11.8		450.4
428.5		Stats
07/09/16NRD: Third Alarm
CFDD: Muncie MissFits		150
183		451.8
418.3		0.12-0.10Expected: 0.12, Actual: -0.10-13.2
+13.2		438.6
431.5		Stats
06/05/16NRD: Third Alarm
Lafayette		103
157		454.8
477.3		-0.16-0.21Expected: -0.16, Actual: -0.21-3.1
+3.1		451.8
480.4		Stats
05/21/16NRD: Third Alarm
BHRD: Code Blue Assassins		169
203		464.6
459.0		0.07-0.09Expected: 0.07, Actual: -0.09-9.8
+9.8		454.8
468.8		Stats
07/25/15NRD: Third Alarm
Kokomo		282
142		462.7
411.1		0.290.33Expected: 0.29, Actual: 0.33+1.9
-1.9		464.6
409.3		Stats
05/30/15NRD: Third Alarm
ROCK		110
202		489.1
437.6		0.21-0.29Expected: 0.21, Actual: -0.29-26.4
+26.4		462.7
464.0		Stats
05/09/15NRD: Third Alarm
A-Town		317
83		487.3
372.7		0.550.59Expected: 0.55, Actual: 0.59+1.8
-1.8		489.1
370.8		Stats
03/22/15NRD: Third Alarm
Bone City		247
58		471.5
414.7		0.320.62Expected: 0.32, Actual: 0.62+15.8
-15.8		487.3
398.9		Stats
08/09/14NRD: Third Alarm
Gem City		204
175		446.1
523.8		-0.410.08Expected: -0.41, Actual: 0.08+25.3
-25.3		471.5
498.4		Stats
07/12/14NRD: Third Alarm
Terrorz		82
328		463.4
527.8		-0.27-0.60Expected: -0.27, Actual: -0.60-17.3
+17.3		446.1
545.0		Stats
06/28/14NRD: Third Alarm
SBRG: Bonnie Dooms		73
216		486.0
489.7		-0.06-0.49Expected: -0.06, Actual: -0.49-22.6
+22.6		463.4
512.2		Stats
05/10/14NRD: Third Alarm
DCRD: Destruction Dames		130
196		511.8
442.6		0.29-0.20Expected: 0.29, Actual: -0.20-25.9
+25.9		486.0
468.5		Stats
03/08/14NRD: Third Alarm
Lafayette		121
226		535.4
496.6		0.15-0.30Expected: 0.15, Actual: -0.30-23.5
+23.5		511.8
520.2		Stats
07/20/13NRD: Third Alarm
ROCK		238
153		541.7
462.3		0.340.22Expected: 0.34, Actual: 0.22-6.3
+6.3		535.4
468.6		Stats
06/16/13NRD: Third Alarm
Cornfed		172
145		541.7
515.7		0.080.09Expected: 0.08, Actual: 0.09+0.0
-0.0		541.7
515.7		Stats
05/11/13NRD: Third Alarm
Ann Arbor		122
270		557.7
563.1		-0.07-0.38Expected: -0.07, Actual: -0.38-16.0
+16.0		541.7
579.1		Stats
03/23/13NRD: Third Alarm
Quad City Rollers		206
187		570.9
499.7		0.300.05Expected: 0.30, Actual: 0.05-13.2
+13.2		557.7
512.9		Stats
03/02/13NRD: Third Alarm
DCRD: Destruction Dames		216
96		548.3
548.8		-0.050.38Expected: -0.05, Actual: 0.38+22.6
-22.6		570.9
526.2		Stats
02/24/13NRD: Third Alarm
FWDG: SWAT team		169
164		560.7
500.1		0.250.02Expected: 0.25, Actual: 0.02-12.4
+12.4		548.3
512.5		Stats
08/25/12NRD: Third Alarm
Little Steel Derby Girls		183
90		560.3
477.2		0.330.34Expected: 0.33, Actual: 0.34+0.4
-0.4		560.7
476.9		Stats
05/26/12NRD: Third Alarm
VCRD: Bowling Green Hot Broads		208
89		548.0
509.6		0.120.40Expected: 0.12, Actual: 0.40+12.4
-12.4		560.3
497.2		Stats
05/19/12NRD: Third Alarm
Lafayette		168
51		540.9
448.3		0.370.53Expected: 0.37, Actual: 0.53+7.1
-7.1		548.0
441.2		Stats
04/14/12NRD: Third Alarm
Cornfed		185
76		529.5
483.4		0.160.42Expected: 0.16, Actual: 0.42+11.4
-11.4		540.9
471.9		Stats
02/11/12NRD: Third Alarm
South Bend		116
121		531.8
511.5		0.03-0.02Expected: 0.03, Actual: -0.02-2.3
+2.3		529.5
513.8		Stats
02/04/12NRD: Third Alarm
BCB: Battlestars		95
111		521.7
569.4		-0.31-0.08Expected: -0.31, Actual: -0.08+10.1
-10.1		531.8
559.3		Stats
02/04/12NRD: Third Alarm
BHRD: Code Blue Assassins		135
131		507.1
556.5		-0.310.02Expected: -0.31, Actual: 0.02+14.5
-14.5		521.7
542.0		Stats
02/04/12NRD: Third Alarm
BBRG: Shiners		147
136		510.1
473.5		0.110.04Expected: 0.11, Actual: 0.04-3.0
+3.0		507.1
476.4		Stats
01/07/12NRD: Third Alarm
DCRD: Destruction Dames		100
149		524.8
483.6		0.14-0.20Expected: 0.14, Actual: -0.20-14.7
+14.7		510.1
498.3		Stats
10/15/11NRD: Third Alarm
Quad City Rollers		239
82		512.1
457.2		0.200.49Expected: 0.20, Actual: 0.49+12.7
-12.7		524.8
444.4		Stats
09/17/11NRD: Third Alarm
VCRD: Bowling Green Hot Broads		118
90		507.1
488.7		0.020.13Expected: 0.02, Actual: 0.13+5.0
-5.0		512.1
483.7		Stats
08/20/11NRD: Third Alarm
BBRG: Shiners		151
96		494.3
493.7		-0.070.22Expected: -0.07, Actual: 0.22+12.8
-12.8		507.1
480.9		Stats
07/30/11NRD: Third Alarm
Rubber City		46
142		517.9
527.6		0.02-0.51Expected: 0.02, Actual: -0.51-23.6
+23.6		494.3
551.2		Stats
07/24/11NRD: Third Alarm
Cornfed		160
116		517.3
474.1		0.140.16Expected: 0.14, Actual: 0.16+0.6
-0.6		517.9
473.5		Stats
06/11/11NRD: Third Alarm
Radioactive City		171
79		511.4
449.5		0.240.37Expected: 0.24, Actual: 0.37+5.9
-5.9		517.3
443.6		Stats
06/05/11NRD: Third Alarm
CINC: Flock Ewes		128
131		511.4
[unranked]		-0.01Actual: -0.01 
 		511.4
507.8		Stats
04/02/11NRD: Third Alarm
Rubber City		117
178		528.9
476.6		0.19-0.21Expected: 0.19, Actual: -0.21-17.6
+17.6		511.4
494.2		Stats
03/05/11NRD: Third Alarm
PVRG: Flying Squirrels		97
94		543.9
456.2		0.350.02Expected: 0.35, Actual: 0.02-14.9
+14.9		528.9
471.1		Stats
02/12/11NRD: Third Alarm
Chippewa Valley		170
55		547.7
395.7		0.600.51Expected: 0.60, Actual: 0.51-3.8
+3.8		543.9
399.6		Stats
09/18/10NRD: Third Alarm
RCRG: Hot Rod Dollies		107
75		548.7
495.1		0.200.18Expected: 0.20, Actual: 0.18-0.9
+0.9		547.7
496.0		Stats
07/17/10NRD: Third Alarm
Rockford		117
122		549.5
536.2		-0.00-0.02Expected: -0.00, Actual: -0.02-0.8
+0.8		548.7
537.1		Stats
05/01/10NRD: Third Alarm
ARD: Audio Assault		80
38		[unranked]
522.1		0.36Actual: 0.36 
 		549.5
522.1		Stats