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Bouts Played per Week

TOTAL BOUTS THIS WEEK

EXPECTED vs ACTUAL WINS

0 / 11 predictable bouts played

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Closest Predictions

	7/26: Rainy City (UK) @ Leeds
	7/26: Richland County Re... @ Greensboro
	7/26: Rocky Mtn. @ Denver
	7/27: Chicago Outfit @ NEO
	7/26: Chicago Outfit @ Burning River
	7/26: Denver @ Bay Area

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Bouts To Watch

	7/26: Denver @ Bay Area
	7/26: Rocky Mtn. @ Denver
	7/27: Rocky Mtn. @ Bay Area
	7/26: Demolition @ Nashville
	7/27: Chicago Outfit @ NEO
	7/26: Rainy City (UK) @ Leeds

Tournaments

Top Rankings in WFTDA

1.	Gotham Girls Roller Derby	999
2.	B.ay A.rea D.erby Girls	957
3.	Texas Rollergirls	920
4.	Rose City Rollers	914
5.	Denver Roller Dolls	904
6.	Minnesota RollerGirls	895
7.	London Rollergirls	892
8.	Angel City Derby Girls	891
9.	Victorian Roller Derby League	885
10.	Philly Roller Girls	874
11.	Rocky Mountain Rollergirls	867
12.	Windy City Rollers	854
13.	Atlanta Rollergirls	853
14.	Jacksonville Roller Girls	845
15.	Charm City Roller Girls	835
16.	Oly Rollers	826
17.	Rat City Roller Girls	819
18.	Terminal City Rollergirls	809
19.	Toronto Roller Derby	788
20.	Montreal Roller Derby	788

Visitor

Detroit

Current Rating & Rank

745.2

34th

904.0

5th

Home

Denver

EXPECTED DoS

.68

Expected: 0.68

Denver is expected to win with a DoS of .68

Expected Win Probability

1 %

99 %

Detroit has a 1% chance of winning; Denver has a 99% chance of winning.

Expected Score Ratio

4

:

21

For every 4 points Detroit scores, Denver is expected to score 21.

Last Played

These teams last played on

8/6/11: Detroit (82) @ Denver (173)

2014 RollerCon

	VS
Detroit		Denver
34th (745.2)		5th (904.0)

Tomorrow, 12:00 pm

Visitor

Rocky Mtn.

Current Rating & Rank

866.7

11th

904.0

5th

Home

Denver

EXPECTED DoS

.22

Expected: 0.22

Denver is expected to win with a DoS of .22

Expected Win Probability

16 %

84 %

Rocky Mtn. has a 16% chance of winning; Denver has a 84% chance of winning.

Expected Score Ratio

9

:

14

For every 9 points Rocky Mtn. scores, Denver is expected to score 14.

Last Played

These teams last played on

8/2/13: Rocky Mtn. (165) @ Denver (164)

2014 RollerCon

	VS
Rocky Mtn.		Denver
11th (866.7)		5th (904.0)

In 2 days, 12:00 pm

Visitor

Denver

Current Rating & Rank

904.0

5th

956.6

2nd

Home

Bay Area

EXPECTED DoS

.29

Expected: 0.29

Bay Area is expected to win with a DoS of .29

Expected Win Probability

10 %

90 %

Denver has a 10% chance of winning; Bay Area has a 90% chance of winning.

Expected Score Ratio

21

:

38

For every 21 points Denver scores, Bay Area is expected to score 38.

Last Played

These teams last played on

4/11/14: Denver (95) @ Bay Area (203)

2014 RollerCon

	VS
Denver		Bay Area
5th (904.0)		2nd (956.6)

In 2 days, 6:30 pm

Visitor

Killamazoo

Current Rating & Rank

709.4

56th

564.2

162nd

Home

South Bend

EXPECTED DoS

.59

Expected: -0.59

Killamazoo is expected to win with a DoS of .59

Expected Win Probability

99 %

1 %

Killamazoo has a 99% chance of winning; South Bend has a 1% chance of winning.

Expected Score Ratio

23

:

6

For every 23 points Killamazoo scores, South Bend is expected to score 6.

Last Played

These teams last played on

1/11/14: South Bend (146) @ Killamazoo (348)

	VS
Killamazoo		South Bend
56th (709.4)		162nd (564.2)

In 2 days

Visitor

Chicago Outfit

Current Rating & Rank

684.8

71st

619.5

111th

Home

Burning River

EXPECTED DoS

.27

Expected: -0.27

Chicago Outfit is expected to win with a DoS of .27

Expected Win Probability

88 %

12 %

Chicago Outfit has a 88% chance of winning; Burning River has a 12% chance of winning.

Expected Score Ratio

31

:

18

For every 31 points Chicago Outfit scores, Burning River is expected to score 18.

Last Played

These teams last played on

6/3/12: Chicago Outfit (181) @ Burning River (164)

	VS
Chicago Outfit		Burning River
71st (684.8)		111th (619.5)

In 2 days

Visitor

Richland County Re...

Current Rating & Rank

536.8

189th

558.8

168th

Home

Greensboro

EXPECTED DoS

.16

Expected: 0.16

Greensboro is expected to win with a DoS of .16

Expected Win Probability

23 %

77 %

Richland County Re... has a 23% chance of winning; Greensboro has a 77% chance of winning.

Expected Score Ratio

18

:

25

For every 18 points Richland County Re... scores, Greensboro is expected to score 25.

Last Played

These teams last played on

8/10/13: Richland County Re... (254) @ Greensboro (173)

	VS
Richland County Re...		Greensboro
189th (536.8)		168th (558.8)

In 2 days

Visitor

Demolition

Current Rating & Rank

699.7

62nd

752.2

29th

Home

Nashville

EXPECTED DoS

.31

Expected: 0.31

Nashville is expected to win with a DoS of .31

Expected Win Probability

9 %

91 %

Demolition has a 9% chance of winning; Nashville has a 91% chance of winning.

Expected Score Ratio

26

:

49

For every 26 points Demolition scores, Nashville is expected to score 49.

Last Played

These teams last played on

2/1/14: Demolition (209) @ Nashville (159)

	VS
Demolition		Nashville
62nd (699.7)		29th (752.2)

In 2 days

Visitor

Rainy City (UK)

Current Rating & Rank

623.1

108th

587.9

135th

Home

Leeds

EXPECTED DoS

.12

Expected: -0.12

Rainy City (UK) is expected to win with a DoS of .12

Expected Win Probability

71 %

29 %

Rainy City (UK) has a 71% chance of winning; Leeds has a 29% chance of winning.

Expected Score Ratio

51

:

40

For every 51 points Rainy City (UK) scores, Leeds is expected to score 40.

Last Played

These teams last played on

5/31/14: Rainy City (UK) (187) @ Leeds (106)

	VS
Rainy City (UK)		Leeds
108th (623.1)		135th (587.9)

In 2 days

Visitor

Rocky Mtn.

Current Rating & Rank

866.7

11th

956.6

2nd

Home

Bay Area

EXPECTED DoS

.45

Expected: 0.45

Bay Area is expected to win with a DoS of .45

Expected Win Probability

3 %

97 %

Rocky Mtn. has a 3% chance of winning; Bay Area has a 97% chance of winning.

Expected Score Ratio

8

:

21

For every 8 points Rocky Mtn. scores, Bay Area is expected to score 21.

Last Played

These teams last played on

4/22/12: Bay Area (160) @ Rocky Mtn. (113)

2014 RollerCon

	VS
Rocky Mtn.		Bay Area
11th (866.7)		2nd (956.6)

In 3 days, 12:00 pm

Visitor

Detroit

Current Rating & Rank

745.2

34th

956.6

2nd

Home

Bay Area

EXPECTED DoS

.8

Expected: 0.80

Bay Area is expected to win with a DoS of .8

Expected Win Probability

< 1 %

> 99 %

Detroit has a < 1% chance of winning; Bay Area has a > 99% chance of winning.

Expected Score Ratio

7

:

62

For every 7 points Detroit scores, Bay Area is expected to score 62.

Last Played

These teams last played on

9/28/13: Detroit (59) @ Bay Area (343)

2014 RollerCon

	VS
Detroit		Bay Area
34th (745.2)		2nd (956.6)

In 3 days, 6:30 pm

	VS
Chicago Outfit		NEO
71st (684.8)		105th (628.4)

In 3 days

RECENTLY IMPORTED STATS

6/8/14: Reef City (235) @ Murder City (73)

12/7/13: Melbourne Northsid... (432) @ East Vic (49)

9/7/13: Geelong (384) @ Van Diemen (58)

9/7/13: Melbourne Northsid... (206) @ Devil State (68)

9/7/13: Geelong (612) @ Devil State (104)

6/9/14: Sydney Assassins (71) @ Victoria (351)

6/9/14: Canberra (100) @ Sun State (176)

6/8/14: South Side (NSW) (303) @ Cairns (90)

4/27/14: ADRD: Mile Die Clu... (154) @ ADRD: Salty Dolls (156)

6/9/14: Reef City (225) @ South Side (NSW) (140)

VISITOR	HOME

Reef City	Murder City
235	73

Total Score per Jam

	Score			Maj
	P1	P2	T	Pen	LJ
	123	112	235	34	63 %
	27	46	73	22	37 %

View More Stats

VISITOR	HOME

Melbourne Norths...	East Vic
432	49

Total Score per Jam

	Score			Maj
	P1	P2	T	Pen	LJ
	217	215	432	19	80 %
	32	17	49	30	18 %

View More Stats

VISITOR	HOME

Geelong	Van Diemen
384	58

Total Score per Jam

	Score			Maj
	P1	P2	T	Pen	LJ
	161	223	384	22	81 %
	23	35	58	41	15 %

View More Stats

VISITOR	HOME

Melbourne Norths...	Devil State
206	68

Total Score per Jam

	Score			Maj
	P1	P2	T	Pen	LJ
	90	116	206	16	57 %
	53	15	68	33	38 %

View More Stats

VISITOR	HOME

Geelong	Devil State
612	104

Total Score per Jam

	Score			Maj
	P1	P2	T	Pen	LJ
	269	343	612	31	94 %
	45	59	104	60	3 %

View More Stats

VISITOR	HOME

Sydney Assassins	Victoria
71	351

Total Score per Jam

	Score			Maj
	P1	P2	T	Pen	LJ
	24	47	71	35	20 %
	183	170	353	44	75 %

View More Stats

VISITOR	HOME

Canberra	Sun State
100	176

Total Score per Jam

	Score			Maj
	P1	P2	T	Pen	LJ
	35	65	100	51	42 %
	103	73	176	50	54 %

View More Stats

VISITOR	HOME

South Side (NSW)	Cairns
303	90

Total Score per Jam

	Score			Maj
	P1	P2	T	Pen	LJ
	142	161	303	28	81 %
	20	70	90	20	14 %

View More Stats

VISITOR	HOME

ADRD: Mile Die C...	ADRD: Salty Doll...
154	156

Total Score per Jam

	Score			Maj
	P1	P2	T	Pen	LJ
	69	85	154	16	51 %
	58	98	156	31	48 %

View More Stats

VISITOR	HOME

Reef City	South Side (NSW)
225	140

Total Score per Jam

	Score			Maj
	P1	P2	T	Pen	LJ
	89	136	225	33	48 %
	73	67	140	41	48 %

View More Stats

ANNOUNCEMENTS

FTS Widgets

March 12th, 2014 by rzr

Have you ever wanted your FTS Rating auto-magically updated on your website? Well, now you can!

Every team's overview page now features a preview of the new FTS Rating Widget. Simply click on the link, "Want this widget?" and copy and paste the code to your website. That's it!

The Algorithm: 2014

January 26th, 2014 by reynman

It’s time for our annual re-tuning of the algorithm(s) and a quick look back at how we’ve done for the past year. By far, the most feedback we’ve received has been focused on our newly released ranking systems – most specifically Europe. I take the fact that the rest are uncontroversial as a good thing.

Stat Chat: Erasing a Lead

October 4th, 2013 by reynman

We were contacted by N8 recently concerning a discussion on blowouts that he was having with derbynerd over on DNN. While I’m not sure I exactly answered his question (sorry N8), it started me on an investigation that I found interesting and I thought I’d share some observations.

More Blog Posts ...

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