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The numbers behind flat track roller derby.

Week of Jun 15th - Jun 21st
(# Bouts)
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Bouts Played per Week
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TOTAL BOUTS THIS WEEK
EXPECTED vs ACTUAL WINS
5 / 5 predictable bouts played

More
Closest Predictions
Expected: 0.12, Actual: 0.11
6/17: ADRD: Wild Hearses (153) @ ADRD: Road Train R... (189)
Expected: -0.13, Actual: 0.18
6/17: NBR: Cherry Bombs (150) @ Tweed Valley (216)
Expected: 0.16, Actual: 0.09
6/17: NBR: Blackhearts (161) @ BCR: The Misfits (191)
Expected: 0.19, Actual: 0.06
6/17: ADRD: The Good Shi... (176) @ ADRD: Mile Die Clu... (197)
Expected: -0.35, Actual: 0.23
6/17: SUN: Zombees (151) @ East Coast (242)
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Bouts To Watch
Expected: 0.16, Actual: 0.09
6/17: NBR: Blackhearts (161) @ BCR: The Misfits (191)
Expected: -0.13, Actual: 0.18
6/17: NBR: Cherry Bombs (150) @ Tweed Valley (216)
Expected: 0.19, Actual: 0.06
6/17: ADRD: The Good Shi... (176) @ ADRD: Mile Die Clu... (197)
Expected: 0.12, Actual: 0.11
6/17: ADRD: Wild Hearses (153) @ ADRD: Road Train R... (189)
Expected: -0.35, Actual: 0.23
6/17: SUN: Zombees (151) @ East Coast (242)
Tournaments
Open Season 2023
Biggest Movers
East Coast +34.5
Tweed Valley +18.5
ADRD: The Good ... +7.7
ADRD: Mile Die ... -7.7
NBR: Cherry Bom... -18.5
SUN: Zombees -34.5
More
Closest Bouts
21 pts
6/17: ADRD: The Good Shi... (176) @ ADRD: Mile Die Clu... (197)
30 pts
6/17: NBR: Blackhearts (161) @ BCR: The Misfits (191)
36 pts
6/17: ADRD: Wild Hearses (153) @ ADRD: Road Train R... (189)
66 pts
6/17: NBR: Cherry Bombs (150) @ Tweed Valley (216)
91 pts
6/17: SUN: Zombees (151) @ East Coast (242)
Biggest Upsets
6/17: SUN: Zombees (151) @ East Coast (242)
6/17: NBR: Cherry Bombs (150) @ Tweed Valley (216)
Top Rankings in Women Pacific
1.Victorian Roller Derby League799 
2.Canberra Roller Derby League710 
3.Adelaide Roller Derby644 
4.Perth Roller Derby614 
5.Sun State Roller Derby608 
6.Thunder573 
7.Brisbane City Rollers569 
8.Dead End Derby554 
9.Rumble Bees (Sun State)551 
10.Rumble Bees (Perth)531 
11.Convict City Roller Derby519 
12.Varsity Derby League501 
13.Storm498 
14.Coastal Assassins Roller Derby497 
15.South Sea Roller Derby493 
16.Sydney Roller Derby League491 
17.WestSide Roller Derby (Women's)489 
18.Richter City Roller Derby488 
19.Whakatane Roller Derby League481 
20.Newcastle Roller Derby League (Aus)465 
 
2 years 32 weeks ago, 6/17/23
Visitor
ADRD: Wild Hearses
153
Stats
Resulting Rating & Rank
332.7 +1.0
91st in Women Pacif...
346.2 -1.0
83rd in Women Pacif...
Home
ADRD: Road Train R...
189
EXPECTED vs ACTUAL DoS
.12
Expected: 0.12, Actual: 0.11
.11
ADRD: Road Train R... was given a 69% chance of winning, but won by slightly less than expected.
EXPECTED vs ACTUAL SCORE RATIO
18 : 23
18 : 22
ADRD: Road Train R... scored a ratio of 22 : 18. This is 7 game points short of the expected ratio of 23 : 18.
Next Bout
ADRD: Wild Hearses has no bouts scheduled
ADRD: Road Train R... has no bouts scheduled
VS
ADRD: Wild Hearses
ADRD: Road Train R...
153
189
6/17/23
2 years 32 weeks ago, 6/17/23
Visitor
ADRD: The Good Shi...
176
Stats
Resulting Rating & Rank
355.4 +7.7
70th in Women Pacif...
368.5 -7.7
62nd in Women Pacif...
Home
ADRD: Mile Die Clu...
197
EXPECTED vs ACTUAL DoS
.19
Expected: 0.19, Actual: 0.06
.06
ADRD: Mile Die Clu... was given a 77% chance of winning, but won by less than expected.
EXPECTED vs ACTUAL SCORE RATIO
11 : 16
11 : 12
ADRD: Mile Die Clu... scored a ratio of 12 : 11. This is 59 game points short of the expected ratio of 16 : 11.
Next Bout
ADRD: The Good Shi... has no bouts scheduled
ADRD: Mile Die Clu... has no bouts scheduled
VS
ADRD: The Good Shi...
ADRD: Mile Die Clu...
176
197
6/17/23
Open Season 2023
2 years 32 weeks ago, 6/17/23
Visitor
NBR: Cherry Bombs
150
Stats
Resulting Rating & Rank
351.7 -18.5
74th in Women Pacif...
358.4 +18.5
69th in Women Pacif...
Home
Tweed Valley
216
EXPECTED vs ACTUAL DoS
.13
Expected: -0.13, Actual: 0.18
.18
Tweed Valley was given a 30% chance of winning, and exceeded expectation.
EXPECTED vs ACTUAL SCORE RATIO
13 : 10
7 : 10
NBR: Cherry Bombs scored a ratio of 7 : 10. This is 131 game points short of the expected ratio of 13 : 10.
Next Bout
NBR: Cherry Bombs has no bouts scheduled
Tweed Valley has no bouts scheduled
Open Season 2023
VS
NBR: Cherry Bombs
Tweed Valley
150
216
6/17/23
Open Season 2023
2 years 32 weeks ago, 6/17/23
Visitor
SUN: Zombees
151
Stats
Resulting Rating & Rank
380.9 -34.5
54th in Women Pacif...
373.4 +34.5
60th in Women Pacif...
Home
East Coast
242
EXPECTED vs ACTUAL DoS
.35
Expected: -0.35, Actual: 0.23
.23
East Coast was given a 9% chance of winning, and exceeded expectation.
EXPECTED vs ACTUAL SCORE RATIO
33 : 16
10 : 16
SUN: Zombees scored a ratio of 10 : 16. This is 348 game points short of the expected ratio of 33 : 16.
Next Bout
SUN: Zombees has no bouts scheduled
East Coast has no bouts scheduled
Open Season 2023
VS
SUN: Zombees
East Coast
151
242
6/17/23
Open Season 2023
2 years 32 weeks ago, 6/17/23
Visitor
NBR: Blackhearts
161
Stats
Resulting Rating & Rank
389.1 +4.3
50th in Women Pacif...
408.2 -4.3
40th in Women Pacif...
Home
BCR: The Misfits
191
EXPECTED vs ACTUAL DoS
.16
Expected: 0.16, Actual: 0.09
.09
BCR: The Misfits was given a 74% chance of winning, but won by less than expected.
EXPECTED vs ACTUAL SCORE RATIO
43 : 59
43 : 51
BCR: The Misfits scored a ratio of 51 : 43. This is 30 game points short of the expected ratio of 59 : 43.
Next Bout
NBR: Blackhearts has no bouts scheduled
BCR: The Misfits has no bouts scheduled
Open Season 2023
VS
NBR: Blackhearts
BCR: The Misfits
161
191
6/17/23
 
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