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The numbers behind flat track roller derby.

Week of Oct 19th - Oct 25th
(# Bouts)
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Bouts Played per Week
May
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Aug
Sep
Oct

TOTAL BOUTS THIS WEEK
EXPECTED vs ACTUAL WINS
12 / 12 predictable bouts played

More
Closest Predictions
Expected: -0.09, Actual: -0.13
10/21: Aftershocks (169) @ MXRD Disorder (130)
Expected: -0.12, Actual: 0.11
10/21: Race City (134) @ Wreckingballs (167)
Expected: 0.12, Actual: -0.44
10/21: Concussion (201) @ Pittsburgh (79)
Expected: -0.12, Actual: -0.39
10/22: Aftershocks (279) @ Wreckingballs (123)
Expected: 0.18, Actual: 0.25
10/22: Pittsburgh (115) @ Race City (191)
Expected: 0.27, Actual: 0.28
10/22: Philly Hooligans (92) @ MXRD Disorder (162)
More
Bouts To Watch
Expected: -0.09, Actual: -0.13
10/21: Aftershocks (169) @ MXRD Disorder (130)
Expected: -0.12, Actual: -0.39
10/22: Aftershocks (279) @ Wreckingballs (123)
Expected: 0.39, Actual: -0.07
10/22: Ground Control (151) @ St. Louis GateKeep... (130)
Expected: -0.12, Actual: 0.11
10/21: Race City (134) @ Wreckingballs (167)
Expected: 0.12, Actual: -0.44
10/21: Concussion (201) @ Pittsburgh (79)
Expected: 0.18, Actual: 0.25
10/22: Pittsburgh (115) @ Race City (191)
Tournaments
2023 MRDA Western He...
Biggest Movers
Concussion +42.5
Aftershocks +21.9
Ground Control +12.8
Philly Hooligan... -16.6
St. Louis GateK... -18.8
Pittsburgh -36.5
More
Closest Bouts
21 pts
10/22: Ground Control (151) @ St. Louis GateKeep... (130)
33 pts
10/21: Race City (134) @ Wreckingballs (167)
39 pts
10/21: Aftershocks (169) @ MXRD Disorder (130)
70 pts
10/22: Philly Hooligans (92) @ MXRD Disorder (162)
76 pts
10/22: Pittsburgh (115) @ Race City (191)
110 pts
10/21: Philly Hooligans (44) @ Bruise Brothers (154)
More
Biggest Upsets
10/22: Ground Control (151) @ St. Louis GateKeep... (130)
10/21: Concussion (201) @ Pittsburgh (79)
10/21: Race City (134) @ Wreckingballs (167)
Top Rankings in MRDA
1.Magic City Misfits974 
2.Saint Louis GateKeepers944-18.8
3.Denver Roller Derby (Men's)915+12.8
4.The Vancouver Murder891 
5.Panam Squad863 
6.Manchester Roller Derby (Men's)861 
7.San Diego Aftershocks832+21.9
8.Chicago Bruise Brothers818+10.3
9.Tyne & Fear Roller Derby807 
10.Concussion Roller Derby805+42.5
11.Race City Rebels795-9.2
12.MXRD (Mens)790-2.0
13.Puget Sound Outcast Derby780 
14.Carolina Wreckingballs Derby Team776-4.4
15.Toronto Men's Roller Derby763 
16.Track'Ass (Men's)760 
17.The Inhuman League759 
18.Pittsburgh Roller Derby751-36.5
19.Austin Anarchy Men's Roller Derby749 
20.Brisbane City Rollers (Men's)746 
 
2023 MRDA Western Hemisphere Cup
2 years 13 weeks ago, 10/21/23, 9:00 am
Visitor
Philly Hooligans
44
Stats
Resulting Rating & Rank
734.6 -16.1
21st in MRDA
824.0 +16.1
7th in MRDA
Home
Bruise Brothers
154
EXPECTED vs ACTUAL DoS
.28
Expected: 0.28, Actual: 0.56
.56
Bruise Brothers was given a 89% chance of winning, and exceeded expectation.
EXPECTED vs ACTUAL SCORE RATIO
13 : 23
7 : 23
Philly Hooligans scored a ratio of 7 : 23. This is 43 game points short of the expected ratio of 13 : 23.
Next Bout
Philly Hooligans has no bouts scheduled
Bruise Brothers has no bouts scheduled
2023 MRDA Western Hemisphere Cup
VS
Philly Hooligans
Bruise Brothers
44
154
10/21/23, 9:00 am
2023 MRDA Western Hemisphere Cup
2 years 13 weeks ago, 10/21/23, 11:00 am
Visitor
Concussion
201
Stats
Resulting Rating & Rank
795.1 +32.4
11th in MRDA
754.9 -32.4
18th in MRDA
Home
Pittsburgh
79
EXPECTED vs ACTUAL DoS
.12
Expected: 0.12, Actual: -0.44
.44
Concussion was given a 29% chance of winning, and exceeded expectation.
EXPECTED vs ACTUAL SCORE RATIO
18 : 23
18 : 7
Pittsburgh scored a ratio of 7 : 18. This is 178 game points short of the expected ratio of 23 : 18.
Next Bout
Concussion has no bouts scheduled
Pittsburgh has no bouts scheduled
2023 MRDA Western Hemisphere Cup
VS
Concussion
Pittsburgh
201
79
10/21/23, 11:00 am
2023 MRDA Western Hemisphere Cup
2 years 13 weeks ago, 10/21/23, 1:00 pm
Visitor
Bruise Brothers
49
Stats
Resulting Rating & Rank
818.1 -5.9
7th in MRDA
968.3 +5.9
2nd in MRDA
Home
St. Louis GateKeep...
278
EXPECTED vs ACTUAL DoS
.6
Expected: 0.60, Actual: 0.70
.7
St. Louis GateKeep... was given a 99% chance of winning, and exceeded expectation.
EXPECTED vs ACTUAL SCORE RATIO
1 : 6
1 : 6
Bruise Brothers scored a ratio of 1 : 6. This is -3 game points short of the expected ratio of 1 : 6.
Next Bout
Bruise Brothers has no bouts scheduled
St. Louis GateKeep... has no bouts scheduled
2023 MRDA Western Hemisphere Cup
VS
Bruise Brothers
St. Louis GateKeep...
49
278
10/21/23, 1:00 pm
2023 MRDA Western Hemisphere Cup
2 years 13 weeks ago, 10/21/23, 3:00 pm
Visitor
Race City
134
Stats
Resulting Rating & Rank
791.0 -13.2
13th in MRDA
793.7 +13.2
11th in MRDA
Home
Wreckingballs
167
EXPECTED vs ACTUAL DoS
.12
Expected: -0.12, Actual: 0.11
.11
Wreckingballs was given a 29% chance of winning, and slightly exceeded expectation.
EXPECTED vs ACTUAL SCORE RATIO
52 : 41
33 : 41
Race City scored a ratio of 33 : 41. This is 78 game points short of the expected ratio of 52 : 41.
Next Bout
Race City has no bouts scheduled
Wreckingballs has no bouts scheduled
2023 MRDA Western Hemisphere Cup
VS
Race City
Wreckingballs
134
167
10/21/23, 3:00 pm
2023 MRDA Western Hemisphere Cup
2 years 13 weeks ago, 10/21/23, 5:00 pm
Visitor
Concussion
118
Stats
Resulting Rating & Rank
805.2 +10.0
10th in MRDA
892.5 -10.0
3rd in MRDA
Home
Ground Control
228
EXPECTED vs ACTUAL DoS
.49
Expected: 0.49, Actual: 0.32
.32
Ground Control was given a 97% chance of winning, but won by less than expected.
EXPECTED vs ACTUAL SCORE RATIO
14 : 41
14 : 27
Ground Control scored a ratio of 27 : 14. This is 118 game points short of the expected ratio of 41 : 14.
Next Bout
Concussion has no bouts scheduled
Ground Control has no bouts scheduled
2023 MRDA Western Hemisphere Cup
VS
Concussion
Ground Control
118
228
10/21/23, 5:00 pm
2023 MRDA Western Hemisphere Cup
2 years 13 weeks ago, 10/21/23, 7:00 pm
Visitor
Aftershocks
169
Stats
Resulting Rating & Rank
812.2 +2.4
8th in MRDA
789.6 -2.4
13th in MRDA
Home
MXRD Disorder
130
EXPECTED vs ACTUAL DoS
.09
Expected: -0.09, Actual: -0.13
.13
Aftershocks was given a 66% chance of winning, and exceeded expectation.
EXPECTED vs ACTUAL SCORE RATIO
49 : 41
49 : 38
MXRD Disorder scored a ratio of 38 : 49. This is 11 game points short of the expected ratio of 41 : 49.
Next Bout
Aftershocks has no bouts scheduled
MXRD Disorder has no bouts scheduled
2023 MRDA Western Hemisphere Cup
VS
Aftershocks
MXRD Disorder
169
130
10/21/23, 7:00 pm
 
2023 MRDA Western Hemisphere Cup
2 years 13 weeks ago, 10/22/23, 9:00 am
Visitor
Wreckingballs
43
Stats
Resulting Rating & Rank
791.4 -2.3
11th in MRDA
970.6 +2.3
2nd in MRDA
Home
St. Louis GateKeep...
291
EXPECTED vs ACTUAL DoS
.7
Expected: 0.70, Actual: 0.74
.74
St. Louis GateKeep... was given a 99% chance of winning, and exceeded expectation.
EXPECTED vs ACTUAL SCORE RATIO
4 : 23
3 : 23
Wreckingballs scored a ratio of 3 : 23. This is 8 game points short of the expected ratio of 4 : 23.
Next Bout
Wreckingballs has no bouts scheduled
St. Louis GateKeep... has no bouts scheduled
2023 MRDA Western Hemisphere Cup
VS
Wreckingballs
St. Louis GateKeep...
43
291
10/22/23, 9:00 am
2023 MRDA Western Hemisphere Cup
2 years 13 weeks ago, 10/22/23, 11:00 am
Visitor
Aftershocks
128
Stats
Resulting Rating & Rank
816.3 +4.1
8th in MRDA
888.4 -4.1
4th in MRDA
Home
Ground Control
243
EXPECTED vs ACTUAL DoS
.38
Expected: 0.38, Actual: 0.31
.31
Ground Control was given a 95% chance of winning, but won by less than expected.
EXPECTED vs ACTUAL SCORE RATIO
13 : 29
13 : 25
Ground Control scored a ratio of 25 : 13. This is 43 game points short of the expected ratio of 29 : 13.
Next Bout
Aftershocks has no bouts scheduled
Ground Control has no bouts scheduled
2023 MRDA Western Hemisphere Cup
VS
Aftershocks
Ground Control
128
243
10/22/23, 11:00 am
2023 MRDA Western Hemisphere Cup
2 years 13 weeks ago, 10/22/23, 1:00 pm
Visitor
Philly Hooligans
92
Stats
Resulting Rating & Rank
734.2 -0.4
21st in MRDA
790.0 +0.4
13th in MRDA
Home
MXRD Disorder
162
EXPECTED vs ACTUAL DoS
.27
Expected: 0.27, Actual: 0.28
.28
MXRD Disorder was given a 88% chance of winning, and exceeded expectation.
EXPECTED vs ACTUAL SCORE RATIO
15 : 26
15 : 26
Philly Hooligans scored a ratio of 15 : 26. This is 1 game points short of the expected ratio of 15 : 26.
Next Bout
Philly Hooligans has no bouts scheduled
MXRD Disorder has no bouts scheduled
2023 MRDA Western Hemisphere Cup
VS
Philly Hooligans
MXRD Disorder
92
162
10/22/23, 1:00 pm
2023 MRDA Western Hemisphere Cup
2 years 13 weeks ago, 10/22/23, 3:00 pm
Visitor
Pittsburgh
115
Stats
Resulting Rating & Rank
750.8 -4.1
18th in MRDA
795.0 +4.1
11th in MRDA
Home
Race City
191
EXPECTED vs ACTUAL DoS
.18
Expected: 0.18, Actual: 0.25
.25
Race City was given a 79% chance of winning, and exceeded expectation.
EXPECTED vs ACTUAL SCORE RATIO
23 : 33
20 : 33
Pittsburgh scored a ratio of 20 : 33. This is 18 game points short of the expected ratio of 23 : 33.
Next Bout
Pittsburgh has no bouts scheduled
Race City has no bouts scheduled
2023 MRDA Western Hemisphere Cup
VS
Pittsburgh
Race City
115
191
10/22/23, 3:00 pm
2023 MRDA Western Hemisphere Cup
2 years 13 weeks ago, 10/22/23, 5:00 pm
Visitor
Aftershocks
279
Stats
Resulting Rating & Rank
831.7 +15.3
7th in MRDA
776.1 -15.3
14th in MRDA
Home
Wreckingballs
123
EXPECTED vs ACTUAL DoS
.12
Expected: -0.12, Actual: -0.39
.39
Aftershocks was given a 72% chance of winning, and exceeded expectation.
EXPECTED vs ACTUAL SCORE RATIO
9 : 7
9 : 4
Wreckingballs scored a ratio of 4 : 9. This is 94 game points short of the expected ratio of 7 : 9.
Next Bout
Aftershocks has no bouts scheduled
Wreckingballs has no bouts scheduled
2023 MRDA Western Hemisphere Cup
VS
Aftershocks
Wreckingballs
279
123
10/22/23, 5:00 pm
2023 MRDA Western Hemisphere Cup
2 years 13 weeks ago, 10/22/23, 7:00 pm
Visitor
Ground Control
151
Stats
Resulting Rating & Rank
915.3 +27.0
3rd in MRDA
943.6 -27.0
2nd in MRDA
Home
St. Louis GateKeep...
130
EXPECTED vs ACTUAL DoS
.39
Expected: 0.39, Actual: -0.07
.07
Ground Control was given a 5% chance of winning, and exceeded expectation.
EXPECTED vs ACTUAL SCORE RATIO
18 : 41
18 : 15
St. Louis GateKeep... scored a ratio of 15 : 18. This is 214 game points short of the expected ratio of 41 : 18.
Next Bout
Ground Control has no bouts scheduled
St. Louis GateKeep... has no bouts scheduled
2023 MRDA Western Hemisphere Cup
VS
Ground Control
St. Louis GateKeep...
151
130
10/22/23, 7:00 pm
 
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