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The numbers behind flat track roller derby.

Week of May 8th - May 14th
(# Bouts)
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Time Travel
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Bouts Played per Week
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Apr
May

TOTAL BOUTS THIS WEEK
EXPECTED vs ACTUAL WINS
4 / 4 predictable bouts played

More
Closest Predictions
Expected: -0.34, Actual: -0.58
5/10: Southern Discomfor... (279) @ Borderland Bandits (74)
Expected: -0.39, Actual: -0.62
5/11: Tyne & Fear (410) @ Borderland Bandits (97)
Expected: -0.64, Actual: -0.64
5/10: Inhuman (448) @ Brummies (98)
Expected: -0.86, Actual: -0.67
5/11: Southern Discomfor... (451) @ Brummies (88)
More
Bouts To Watch
Expected: -0.34, Actual: -0.58
5/10: Southern Discomfor... (279) @ Borderland Bandits (74)
Expected: -0.39, Actual: -0.62
5/11: Tyne & Fear (410) @ Borderland Bandits (97)
Expected: -0.64, Actual: -0.64
5/10: Inhuman (448) @ Brummies (98)
Expected: -0.86, Actual: -0.67
5/11: Southern Discomfor... (451) @ Brummies (88)
Tournaments
2025 Five Nations Ro...
Biggest Movers
Tyne & Fear +13.1
Brummies +10.3
Southern Discom... +3.3
Borderland Band... -27.1
More
Closest Bouts
205 pts
5/10: Southern Discomfor... (279) @ Borderland Bandits (74)
313 pts
5/11: Tyne & Fear (410) @ Borderland Bandits (97)
350 pts
5/10: Inhuman (448) @ Brummies (98)
363 pts
5/11: Southern Discomfor... (451) @ Brummies (88)
Biggest Upsets
No upsets found this week.
Top Rankings in MRDA
1.Roller Derby Toulouse (Men's)974 
2.Saint Louis GateKeepers923 
3.Tyne & Fear Roller Derby916+13.1
4.Southern Discomfort Roller Derby908+3.3
5.Denver Roller Derby (Men's)901 
6.The Vancouver Murder891 
7.Magic City Misfits884 
8.Concussion Roller Derby882 
9.Panam Squad860 
10.Manchester Roller Derby (Men's)844 
11.DHR Men's Roller Derby837 
12.Carolina Wreckingballs Derby Team830 
13.The Inhuman League813+0.3
14.Gatos Monteses Roller Derby810 
15.Borderland Bandits Roller Derby803-27.1
16.Holkan Roller Derby803 
17.Race City Rebels797 
18.MXRD (Mens)794 
19.San Diego Aftershocks787 
20.Chicago Bruise Brothers779 
 
2025 Five Nations Roller Derby Championships: Men's Tier 1
36 weeks 6 days ago, 5/10/25
Visitor
Inhuman
448
Stats
Resulting Rating & Rank
813.4 +0.3
14th in MRDA
658.5 -0.3
40th in MRDA
Home
Brummies
98
EXPECTED vs ACTUAL DoS
.64
Expected: -0.64, Actual: -0.64
.64
Inhuman was given a 99% chance of winning, and slightly exceeded expectation.
EXPECTED vs ACTUAL SCORE RATIO
9 : 2
9 : 2
Brummies scored a ratio of 2 : 9. This is 2 game points short of the expected ratio of 2 : 9.
Next Bout
Inhuman has no bouts scheduled
Brummies has no bouts scheduled
2025 Five Nations Roller Derby Championships: Men's Tier 1
VS
Inhuman
Brummies
448
98
5/10/25
2025 Five Nations Roller Derby Championships: Men's Tier 1
36 weeks 6 days ago, 5/10/25
Visitor
Southern Discomfor...
279
Stats
Resulting Rating & Rank
918.5 +14.0
3rd in MRDA
815.7 -14.0
13th in MRDA
Home
Borderland Bandits
74
EXPECTED vs ACTUAL DoS
.34
Expected: -0.34, Actual: -0.58
.58
Southern Discomfor... was given a 93% chance of winning, and exceeded expectation.
EXPECTED vs ACTUAL SCORE RATIO
65 : 32
65 : 17
Borderland Bandits scored a ratio of 17 : 65. This is 63 game points short of the expected ratio of 32 : 65.
Next Bout
Southern Discomfor... has no bouts scheduled
Borderland Bandits has no bouts scheduled
2025 Five Nations Roller Derby Championships: Men's Tier 1
VS
Southern Discomfor...
Borderland Bandits
279
74
5/10/25
 
2025 Five Nations Roller Derby Championships: Men's Tier 1
36 weeks 5 days ago, 5/11/25
Visitor
Southern Discomfor...
451
Stats
Resulting Rating & Rank
907.9 -10.6
3rd in MRDA
669.2 +10.6
37th in MRDA
Home
Brummies
88
EXPECTED vs ACTUAL DoS
.86
Expected: -0.86, Actual: -0.67
.67
Southern Discomfor... was given a > 99% chance of winning, but won by less than expected.
EXPECTED vs ACTUAL SCORE RATIO
13 : 1
5 : 1
Southern Discomfor... scored a ratio of 5 : 1. This is 693 game points short of the expected ratio of 13 : 1.
Next Bout
Southern Discomfor... has no bouts scheduled
Brummies has no bouts scheduled
2025 Five Nations Roller Derby Championships: Men's Tier 1
VS
Southern Discomfor...
Brummies
451
88
5/11/25
2025 Five Nations Roller Derby Championships: Men's Tier 1
36 weeks 5 days ago, 5/11/25
Visitor
Tyne & Fear
410
Stats
Resulting Rating & Rank
915.6 +13.1
3rd in MRDA
802.6 -13.1
15th in MRDA
Home
Borderland Bandits
97
EXPECTED vs ACTUAL DoS
.39
Expected: -0.39, Actual: -0.62
.62
Tyne & Fear was given a 95% chance of winning, and exceeded expectation.
EXPECTED vs ACTUAL SCORE RATIO
16 : 7
16 : 4
Borderland Bandits scored a ratio of 4 : 16. This is 82 game points short of the expected ratio of 7 : 16.
Next Bout
Tyne & Fear has no bouts scheduled
Borderland Bandits has no bouts scheduled
2025 Five Nations Roller Derby Championships: Men's Tier 1
VS
Tyne & Fear
Borderland Bandits
410
97
5/11/25
 
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