DateThis TeamOpponentExpected
vs. Actual		ChangeNew Rating
02/07/15Black Heart Maidens (134)vs Bath City (171)Expected: 0.04, Actual: -0.12-8.6346.7Stats
10/25/14Black Heart Maidens (174)vs KRD: Killa Crew (182)Expected: -0.40, Actual: -0.02+19.6355.2Stats
07/26/14Black Heart Maidens (191)vs TCRD: B Team (125)Expected: 0.42, Actual: 0.21-11.2335.6Stats
03/15/14Black Heart Maidens (300)vs Renegade Rollitia (105)Expected: 0.31, Actual: 0.48+9.2346.8Stats
03/08/14Black Heart Maidens (117)vs Oakland County (288)Expected: -0.24, Actual: -0.42-9.8337.6Stats
02/22/14Black Heart Maidens (141)vs Lansing (191)Expected: 0.05, Actual: -0.15-10.6347.4Stats
02/01/14Black Heart Maidens (134)vs Battle Creek (271)Expected: 0.15, Actual: -0.34-25.6358.0Stats
10/12/13Black Heart Maidens (307)vs Renegade Rollitia (85)Expected: 0.34, Actual: 0.57+12.0383.5Stats
03/30/13Black Heart Maidens (208)vs Renegade Rollitia (167)Expected: 0.19, Actual: 0.11-4.3371.5Stats
02/23/13Black Heart Maidens (202)vs Central Michigan (122)Expected: 0.32, Actual: 0.25-3.6375.9Stats
02/09/13Black Heart Maidens (333)vs Mid Michigan Derby (106)Expected: 0.09, Actual: 0.52+22.1379.5Stats
10/20/12Black Heart Maidens (247)vs Renegade Rollitia (115)Actual: 0.36 357.4Stats
08/11/12Black Heart Maidens (223)vs Battle Creek (195)Expected: 0.21, Actual: 0.07-6.3357.4Stats
07/14/12Black Heart Maidens (83)vs Ann Arbor (203)Expected: -0.13, Actual: -0.42-13.0363.7Stats
05/12/12Black Heart Maidens (202)vs Traverse City (80)Expected: 0.18, Actual: 0.43+11.3376.7Stats
03/10/12Black Heart Maidens (79)vs Floral City (153)Expected: 0.16, Actual: -0.32-21.3365.3Stats
01/21/12Black Heart Maidens (101)vs Kalamazoo (103)Expected: -0.45, Actual: -0.01+19.6386.7Stats
11/26/11Black Heart Maidens (166)vs Battle Creek (62)Expected: 0.14, Actual: 0.46+14.2367.0Stats
11/19/11Black Heart Maidens (123)vs GRRD: Assault (79)Actual: 0.22 352.8Stats
10/22/11Black Heart Maidens (110)vs Jack Town (119)Expected: 0.00, Actual: -0.04-1.9352.8Stats
09/24/11Black Heart Maidens (166)vs Ann Arbor (99)Expected: 0.42, Actual: 0.25-7.5354.8Stats
06/18/11Black Heart Maidens (100)vs Flint (149)Expected: 0.04, Actual: -0.20-10.4362.2Stats
05/07/11Black Heart Maidens (75)vs Blue Water (192)Expected: 0.30, Actual: -0.44-32.6372.6Stats
11/20/10Black Heart Maidens (139)vs Traverse City (42)Actual: 0.54 405.2Stats
DateTeamsScoreIncoming
Ratings		ExpectedActualExpected
vs. Actual		ChangeNew
Ratings
02/07/15Black Heart Maidens
Bath City		134
171		355.2
337.7		0.04-0.12Expected: 0.04, Actual: -0.12-8.6
+8.6		346.7
346.3		Stats
10/25/14Black Heart Maidens
KRD: Killa Crew		174
182		335.6
410.7		-0.40-0.02Expected: -0.40, Actual: -0.02+19.6
-19.6		355.2
391.1		Stats
07/26/14Black Heart Maidens
TCRD: B Team		191
125		346.8
247.7		0.420.21Expected: 0.42, Actual: 0.21-11.2
+11.2		335.6
258.9		Stats
03/15/14Black Heart Maidens
Renegade Rollitia		300
105		337.6
265.3		0.310.48Expected: 0.31, Actual: 0.48+9.2
-9.2		346.8
256.2		Stats
03/08/14Black Heart Maidens
Oakland County		117
288		347.4
386.4		-0.24-0.42Expected: -0.24, Actual: -0.42-9.8
+9.8		337.6
396.1		Stats
02/22/14Black Heart Maidens
Lansing		141
191		358.0
338.6		0.05-0.15Expected: 0.05, Actual: -0.15-10.6
+10.6		347.4
349.1		Stats
02/01/14Black Heart Maidens
Battle Creek		134
271		383.5
344.2		0.15-0.34Expected: 0.15, Actual: -0.34-25.6
+25.6		358.0
369.7		Stats
10/12/13Black Heart Maidens
Renegade Rollitia		307
85		371.5
310.4		0.340.57Expected: 0.34, Actual: 0.57+12.0
-12.0		383.5
298.4		Stats
03/30/13Black Heart Maidens
Renegade Rollitia		208
167		375.9
327.9		0.190.11Expected: 0.19, Actual: 0.11-4.3
+4.3		371.5
332.3		Stats
02/23/13Black Heart Maidens
Central Michigan		202
122		379.5
305.1		0.320.25Expected: 0.32, Actual: 0.25-3.6
+3.6		375.9
308.7		Stats
02/09/13Black Heart Maidens
Mid Michigan Derby		333
106		357.4
329.4		0.090.52Expected: 0.09, Actual: 0.52+22.1
-22.1		379.5
307.3		Stats
10/20/12Black Heart Maidens
Renegade Rollitia		247
115		357.4
[unranked]		0.36Actual: 0.36 
 		357.4
338.0		Stats
08/11/12Black Heart Maidens
Battle Creek		223
195		363.7
335.3		0.210.07Expected: 0.21, Actual: 0.07-6.3
+6.3		357.4
341.6		Stats
07/14/12Black Heart Maidens
Ann Arbor		83
203		376.7
388.0		-0.13-0.42Expected: -0.13, Actual: -0.42-13.0
+13.0		363.7
401.0		Stats
05/12/12Black Heart Maidens
Traverse City		202
80		365.3
315.6		0.180.43Expected: 0.18, Actual: 0.43+11.3
-11.3		376.7
304.3		Stats
03/10/12Black Heart Maidens
Floral City		79
153		386.7
339.9		0.16-0.32Expected: 0.16, Actual: -0.32-21.3
+21.3		365.3
361.3		Stats
01/21/12Black Heart Maidens
Kalamazoo		101
103		367.0
450.7		-0.45-0.01Expected: -0.45, Actual: -0.01+19.6
-19.6		386.7
431.1		Stats
11/26/11Black Heart Maidens
Battle Creek		166
62		352.8
311.5		0.140.46Expected: 0.14, Actual: 0.46+14.2
-14.2		367.0
297.3		Stats
11/19/11Black Heart Maidens
GRRD: Assault		123
79		352.8
[unranked]		0.22Actual: 0.22 
 		352.8
334.8		Stats
10/22/11Black Heart Maidens
Jack Town		110
119		354.8
339.9		0.00-0.04Expected: 0.00, Actual: -0.04-1.9
+1.9		352.8
341.9		Stats
09/24/11Black Heart Maidens
Ann Arbor		166
99		362.2
286.3		0.420.25Expected: 0.42, Actual: 0.25-7.5
+7.5		354.8
293.8		Stats
06/18/11Black Heart Maidens
Flint		100
149		372.6
351.1		0.04-0.20Expected: 0.04, Actual: -0.20-10.4
+10.4		362.2
361.5		Stats
05/07/11Black Heart Maidens
Blue Water		75
192		405.2
329.8		0.30-0.44Expected: 0.30, Actual: -0.44-32.6
+32.6		372.6
362.4		Stats
11/20/10Black Heart Maidens
Traverse City		139
42		[unranked]
[unranked]		0.54Actual: 0.54 
 		405.2
367.2		Stats