| Date | This Team | Opponent | Expected vs. Actual | Change | New Rating | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/31/24 | NOVA (174) | vs Dominion (164) | -2.3 | 356.5 |  Stats | |
| 06/01/24 | NOVA (93) | vs Dutchland (198) | -14.8 | 358.8 | Stats | |
| 04/27/24 | NOVA (186) | vs Southern Delaware (313) | -13.9 | 373.6 | Stats | |
| 05/07/23 | NOVA (110) | vs Harrisburg (209) | -18.8 | 387.4 | Stats | |
| 04/01/23 | NOVA (261) | vs Free State (107) | +33.8 | 406.2 | Stats | |
| 10/16/22 | NOVA (199) | vs Frederick (191) | +0.8 | 372.3 | Stats | |
| 11/02/19 | NOVA (197) | vs Morgantown (106) | +4.2 | 371.6 | Stats | |
| 09/14/19 | NOVA (188) | vs Rocktown (149) | +4.0 | 367.3 | Stats | |
| 09/07/19 | NOVA (189) | vs Dominion (177) | +24.7 | 363.4 | Stats | |
| 08/17/19 | NOVA (106) | vs Free State (238) | -10.1 | 338.7 | Stats | |
| 05/19/19 | NOVA (311) | vs Diamond State (117) | +2.5 | 348.8 | Stats | |
| 04/27/19 | NOVA (181) | vs Fredericksburg (100) | +11.5 | 346.3 | Stats | |
| 10/20/18 | NOVA (150) | vs CDD: Belmont Bruisers (387) | +4.2 | 334.8 | Stats | |
| 07/15/18 | NOVA (318) | vs Diamond State (97) | +12.0 | 330.6 | Stats | |
| 07/14/18 | NOVA (168) | vs BRD: Brawlers (323) | -17.2 | 318.6 | Stats | |
| 06/16/18 | NOVA (260) | vs FSRD: Rock Villains (127) | +22.5 | 335.8 | Stats | |
| 05/12/18 | NOVA (230) | vs Southern Maryland (142) | +1.8 | 313.3 | Stats | |
| 04/21/18 | NOVA (142) | vs Southern Delaware (191) | -5.0 | 311.5 | Stats | |
| 09/23/17 | NOVA (107) | vs Morgantown (246) | -6.5 | 316.5 | Stats | |
| 07/15/17 | NOVA (137) | vs Fredericksburg (188) | -1.3 | 323.0 | Stats | |
| 05/20/17 | NOVA (183) | vs Rocktown (172) | +1.1 | 324.3 | Stats | |
| 05/13/17 | NOVA (164) | vs 301 Derby (155) | -15.8 | 323.3 | Stats | |
| 04/22/17 | NOVA (218) | vs Diamond State (61) | +11.3 | 339.1 | Stats | |
| 03/18/17 | NOVA (154) | vs York City (134) | +17.5 | 327.8 | Stats | |
| 12/04/16 | NOVA (30) | vs Mother State (436) | -7.3 | 310.3 | Stats | |
| 11/06/16 | NOVA (73) | vs River City (287) | -17.0 | 317.6 | Stats | |
| 10/16/16 | NOVA (148) | vs Reading (218) | +9.2 | 334.6 | Stats | |
| 07/09/16 | NOVA (106) | vs CCRD: Female Trouble (298) | +5.6 | 325.4 | Stats | |
| 05/14/16 | NOVA (192) | vs York City (123) | +30.9 | 319.7 | Stats | |
| 04/23/16 | NOVA (110) | vs Southern Delaware (180) | -7.8 | 288.9 | Stats | |
| 03/12/16 | NOVA (280) | vs 301 Derby (184) | -9.4 | 296.7 | Stats | |
| 02/20/16 | NOVA (282) | vs Southern Maryland (102) | +12.4 | 306.1 | Stats | |
| 12/05/15 | NOVA (120) | vs DCRD: Capitol Offenders (186) | +9.0 | 293.7 | Stats | |
| 11/07/15 | NOVA (185) | vs DDR: Orange Crush (221) | -6.6 | 284.7 | Stats | |
| 10/04/15 | NOVA (179) | vs Southern Maryland (170) | -14.2 | 291.4 | Stats | |
| 09/26/15 | NOVA (174) | vs SRG: Wicomikazis (244) | +5.6 | 305.6 | Stats | |
| 03/15/15 | NOVA (187) | vs Reading (275) | -14.9 | 300.0 | Stats | |
| 03/08/14 | NOVA (100) | vs Atlantic Coast (290) | -23.8 | 314.9 | Stats | |
| 04/27/13 | NOVA (119) | vs Atlantic Coast (22) | +2.5 | 338.7 | Stats | |
| 02/16/13 | NOVA (153) | vs Blackwater (129) | +8.2 | 336.2 | Stats | |
| 04/28/12 | NOVA (51) | vs DCRD: Capitol Offenders (376) | -17.7 | 328.0 | Stats | |
| 10/01/11 | NOVA (123) | vs Free State (78) | 345.7 | Stats |
| Date | Teams | Score | Incoming Ratings | Expected | Actual | Expected vs. Actual | Change | New Ratings | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/31/24 | NOVA Dominion | 174 164 | 358.8 336.1 | 0.07 | 0.03 | -2.3 +2.3 | 356.5 338.4 | Stats | |
| 06/01/24 | NOVA Dutchland | 93 198 | 373.6 387.3 | -0.11 | -0.36 | -14.8 +14.8 | 358.8 402.0 | Stats | |
| 04/27/24 | NOVA Southern Delaware | 186 313 | 387.4 400.8 | -0.02 | -0.25 | -13.9 +13.9 | 373.6 414.6 | Stats | |
| 05/07/23 | NOVA Harrisburg | 110 209 | 406.2 396.3 | 0.00 | -0.31 | -18.8 +18.8 | 387.4 415.1 | Stats | |
| 04/01/23 | NOVA Free State | 261 107 | 372.3 411.4 | -0.15 | 0.42 | +33.8 -33.8 | 406.2 377.6 | Stats | |
| 10/16/22 | NOVA Frederick | 199 191 | 371.6 379.1 | 0.01 | 0.02 | +0.8 -0.8 | 372.3 378.3 | Stats | |
| 11/02/19 | NOVA Morgantown | 197 106 | 367.3 329.6 | 0.23 | 0.30 | +4.2 -4.2 | 371.6 325.4 | Stats | |
| 09/14/19 | NOVA Rocktown | 188 149 | 363.4 344.5 | 0.05 | 0.12 | +4.0 -4.0 | 367.3 340.6 | Stats | |
| 09/07/19 | NOVA Dominion | 189 177 | 338.7 410.1 | -0.38 | 0.03 | +24.7 -24.7 | 363.4 385.4 | Stats | |
| 08/17/19 | NOVA Free State | 106 238 | 348.8 401.4 | -0.21 | -0.38 | -10.1 +10.1 | 338.7 411.4 | Stats | |
| 05/19/19 | NOVA Diamond State | 311 117 | 346.3 249.7 | 0.41 | 0.45 | +2.5 -2.5 | 348.8 247.2 | Stats | |
| 04/27/19 | NOVA Fredericksburg | 181 100 | 334.8 306.7 | 0.10 | 0.29 | +11.5 -11.5 | 346.3 295.2 | Stats | |
| 10/20/18 | NOVA CDD: Belmont Bruisers | 150 387 | 330.6 434.7 | -0.51 | -0.44 | +4.2 -4.2 | 334.8 430.5 | Stats | |
| 07/15/18 | NOVA Diamond State | 318 97 | 318.6 252.7 | 0.33 | 0.53 | +12.0 -12.0 | 330.6 240.8 | Stats | |
| 07/14/18 | NOVA BRD: Brawlers | 168 323 | 335.8 338.0 | -0.03 | -0.32 | -17.2 +17.2 | 318.6 355.3 | Stats | |
| 06/16/18 | NOVA FSRD: Rock Villains | 260 127 | 313.3 329.1 | -0.03 | 0.34 | +22.5 -22.5 | 335.8 306.6 | Stats | |
| 05/12/18 | NOVA Southern Maryland | 230 142 | 311.5 278.6 | 0.21 | 0.24 | +1.8 -1.8 | 313.3 276.8 | Stats | |
| 04/21/18 | NOVA Southern Delaware | 142 191 | 316.5 320.2 | -0.06 | -0.15 | -5.0 +5.0 | 311.5 325.2 | Stats | |
| 09/23/17 | NOVA Morgantown | 107 246 | 323.0 372.5 | -0.28 | -0.39 | -6.5 +6.5 | 316.5 379.1 | Stats | |
| 07/15/17 | NOVA Fredericksburg | 137 188 | 324.3 360.6 | -0.14 | -0.16 | -1.3 +1.3 | 323.0 361.9 | Stats | |
| 05/20/17 | NOVA Rocktown | 183 172 | 323.3 329.7 | 0.01 | 0.03 | +1.1 -1.1 | 324.3 328.6 | Stats | |
| 05/13/17 | NOVA 301 Derby | 164 155 | 339.1 269.5 | 0.29 | 0.03 | -15.8 +15.8 | 323.3 285.3 | Stats | |
| 04/22/17 | NOVA Diamond State | 218 61 | 327.8 258.4 | 0.37 | 0.56 | +11.3 -11.3 | 339.1 247.1 | Stats | |
| 03/18/17 | NOVA York City | 154 134 | 310.3 364.9 | -0.22 | 0.07 | +17.5 -17.5 | 327.8 347.4 | Stats | |
| 12/04/16 | NOVA Mother State | 30 436 | 317.6 520.7 | -0.75 | -0.87 | -7.3 +7.3 | 310.3 528.0 | Stats | |
| 11/06/16 | NOVA River City | 73 287 | 334.6 389.6 | -0.31 | -0.59 | -17.0 +17.0 | 317.6 406.5 | Stats | |
| 10/16/16 | NOVA Reading | 148 218 | 325.4 388.6 | -0.35 | -0.19 | +9.2 -9.2 | 334.6 379.3 | Stats | |
| 07/09/16 | NOVA CCRD: Female Trouble | 106 298 | 319.7 440.1 | -0.57 | -0.48 | +5.6 -5.6 | 325.4 434.5 | Stats | |
| 05/14/16 | NOVA York City | 192 123 | 288.9 359.5 | -0.30 | 0.22 | +30.9 -30.9 | 319.7 328.6 | Stats | |
| 04/23/16 | NOVA Southern Delaware | 110 180 | 296.7 327.9 | -0.11 | -0.24 | -7.8 +7.8 | 288.9 335.7 | Stats | |
| 03/12/16 | NOVA 301 Derby | 280 184 | 306.1 238.6 | 0.36 | 0.21 | -9.4 +9.4 | 296.7 248.0 | Stats | |
| 02/20/16 | NOVA Southern Maryland | 282 102 | 293.7 249.3 | 0.26 | 0.47 | +12.4 -12.4 | 306.1 236.9 | Stats | |
| 12/05/15 | NOVA DCRD: Capitol Offenders | 120 186 | 284.7 375.4 | -0.39 | -0.22 | +9.0 -9.0 | 293.7 366.5 | Stats | |
| 11/07/15 | NOVA DDR: Orange Crush | 185 221 | 291.4 274.7 | 0.04 | -0.09 | -6.6 +6.6 | 284.7 281.3 | Stats | |
| 10/04/15 | NOVA Southern Maryland | 179 170 | 305.6 235.1 | 0.30 | 0.03 | -14.2 +14.2 | 291.4 249.3 | Stats | |
| 09/26/15 | NOVA SRG: Wicomikazis | 174 244 | 300.0 347.2 | -0.27 | -0.17 | +5.6 -5.6 | 305.6 341.7 | Stats | |
| 03/15/15 | NOVA Reading | 187 275 | 314.9 287.1 | 0.09 | -0.19 | -14.9 +14.9 | 300.0 302.0 | Stats | |
| 03/08/14 | NOVA Atlantic Coast | 100 290 | 338.7 336.1 | -0.03 | -0.49 | -23.8 +23.8 | 314.9 359.9 | Stats | |
| 04/27/13 | NOVA Atlantic Coast | 119 22 | 336.2 193.3 | 0.64 | 0.69 | +2.5 -2.5 | 338.7 190.8 | Stats | |
| 02/16/13 | NOVA Blackwater | 153 129 | 328.0 351.5 | -0.07 | 0.09 | +8.2 -8.2 | 336.2 343.3 | Stats | |
| 04/28/12 | NOVA DCRD: Capitol Offenders | 51 376 | 345.7 407.7 | -0.36 | -0.76 | -17.7 +17.7 | 328.0 425.3 | Stats | |
| 10/01/11 | NOVA Free State | 123 78 | [unranked] [unranked] | 0.22 | | 345.7 334.3 | Stats |
