Created with Raphaël491.6467.0469.7470.7460.2453.1475.8483.3501.2537.7538.3545.0552.9567.3569.6563.4551.3564.8589.7584.3584.1579.7585.6595.9590.2591.9579.8574.8554.0547.6548.1573.5561.4560.5543.9540.6486.4484.4481.5481.7500.2473.220072008200920102011201220132014Rating453.1595.9

DateThis TeamOpponentExpected
vs. Actual
ChangeNew Rating
03/22/14Wildfires (104)vs ACD: Shore Shots (265)Expected: 0.08, Actual: -0.44-27.0473.2Stats
04/21/13Wildfires (253)vs Ventura (195)Expected: -0.22, Actual: 0.13+18.5500.2Stats
04/21/13Wildfires (170)vs LA Derby Dolls (282)Expected: -0.25, Actual: -0.25+0.3481.7Stats
03/24/13Wildfires (139)vs SCRD: Harbor Hellcats (114)Expected: 0.16, Actual: 0.10-3.0481.5Stats
03/24/13Wildfires (109)vs Undead (118)Expected: -0.00, Actual: -0.04-2.0484.4Stats
03/23/13Wildfires (42)vs Ventura (162)Expected: 0.45, Actual: -0.59-54.3486.4Stats
03/23/13Wildfires (95)vs SCRD: Bad Beats (46)Expected: 0.41, Actual: 0.35-3.3540.6Stats
08/11/12Wildfires (144)vs Humboldt (141)Expected: 0.39, Actual: 0.01-16.6543.9Stats
04/22/12Wildfires (212)vs Sacramento (116)Expected: 0.31, Actual: 0.29-0.8560.5Stats
03/03/12Wildfires (111)vs Orange County (109)Expected: 0.28, Actual: 0.01-12.1561.4Stats
02/18/12Wildfires (102)vs Oly (123)Expected: -0.67, Actual: -0.09+25.4573.5Stats
10/15/11Wildfires (101)vs Steel City (223)Expected: -0.39, Actual: -0.38+0.5548.1Stats
10/01/11Wildfires (25)vs Rocky Mtn. (296)Expected: -0.70, Actual: -0.84-6.4547.6Stats
08/27/11Wildfires (22)vs Windy City (256)Expected: -0.37, Actual: -0.84-20.9554.0Stats
05/15/11Wildfires (49)vs Bay Area (174)Expected: -0.45, Actual: -0.56-5.0574.8Stats
05/15/11Wildfires (158)vs Emerald City (93)Expected: 0.53, Actual: 0.26-12.1579.8Stats
04/16/11Wildfires (73)vs Carolina (77)Expected: -0.06, Actual: -0.03+1.7591.9Stats
09/11/10Wildfires (73)vs Charm City (159)Expected: -0.25, Actual: -0.37-5.7590.2Stats
08/28/10Wildfires (212)vs TRD: Copper Queens (57)Expected: 0.36, Actual: 0.58+10.3595.9Stats
06/06/10Wildfires (148)vs Bay Area (151)Expected: -0.13, Actual: -0.01+5.9585.6Stats
06/06/10Wildfires (199)vs Humboldt (63)Expected: 0.61, Actual: 0.52-4.4579.7Stats
05/02/10Wildfires (133)vs RCR: Axles of Annihilation (81)Expected: 0.25, Actual: 0.24-0.2584.1Stats
05/02/10Wildfires (139)vs LA Derby Dolls (70)Expected: 0.44, Actual: 0.33-5.4584.3Stats
04/03/10Wildfires (153)vs Atlanta (61)Expected: -0.08, Actual: 0.43+24.8589.7Stats
03/27/10Wildfires (129)vs Cincinnati (108)Expected: -0.19, Actual: 0.09+13.5564.8Stats
10/17/09Wildfires (71)vs Cincinnati (103)Expected: 0.07, Actual: -0.18-12.1551.3Stats
08/15/09Wildfires (67)vs Bay Area (140)Expected: -0.23, Actual: -0.35-6.1563.4Stats
05/17/09Wildfires (151)vs Angel City (113)Expected: 0.10, Actual: 0.14+2.3569.6Stats
05/17/09Wildfires (212)vs Sacramento (26)Expected: 0.48, Actual: 0.78+14.4567.3Stats
04/25/09Wildfires (71)vs Elevated (77)Expected: -0.20, Actual: -0.04+7.9552.9Stats
04/04/09Wildfires (179)vs Central Coast (CA) (47)Expected: 0.44, Actual: 0.58+6.8545.0Stats
02/21/09Wildfires (146)vs Inland Empire (38)Expected: 0.58, Actual: 0.59+0.6538.3Stats
01/24/09Wildfires (185)vs Arizona (62)Expected: -0.26, Actual: 0.50+36.5537.7Stats
01/10/09Wildfires (114)vs Orange County (51)Expected: 0.01, Actual: 0.38+18.0501.2Stats
12/06/08Wildfires (56)vs Rocky Mtn. (107)Expected: -0.47, Actual: -0.31+7.4483.3Stats
10/18/08Wildfires (84)vs Bakersfield (30)Expected: 0.00, Actual: 0.47+22.7475.8Stats
08/23/08Wildfires (37)vs Sacred (146)Expected: -0.45, Actual: -0.60-7.1453.1Stats
07/19/08Wildfires (33)vs RCRD: Sockit Wenches (130)Expected: -0.38, Actual: -0.60-10.5460.2Stats
07/12/08Wildfires (60)vs North Bay (59)Expected: -0.01, Actual: 0.01+0.9470.7Stats
06/07/08Wildfires (58)vs Sacramento (42)Expected: 0.10, Actual: 0.16+2.7469.7Stats
03/15/08Wildfires (52)vs Angel City (113)Expected: 0.14, Actual: -0.37-24.6467.0Stats
12/15/07Wildfires (84)vs Treasure Valley (80)Actual: 0.02 491.6Stats
DateTeamsScoreIncoming
Ratings
ExpectedActualExpected
vs. Actual
ChangeNew
Ratings
03/22/14Wildfires
ACD: Shore Shots
104
265
500.2
475.1
0.08-0.44Expected: 0.08, Actual: -0.44-27.0
+27.0
473.2
502.2
Stats
04/21/13Wildfires
Ventura
253
195
481.7
523.3
-0.220.13Expected: -0.22, Actual: 0.13+18.5
-18.5
500.2
504.8
Stats
04/21/13Wildfires
LA Derby Dolls
170
282
481.5
529.1
-0.25-0.25Expected: -0.25, Actual: -0.25+0.3
-0.3
481.7
528.8
Stats
03/24/13Wildfires
SCRD: Harbor Hellcats
139
114
484.4
449.1
0.160.10Expected: 0.16, Actual: 0.10-3.0
+3.0
481.5
452.0
Stats
03/24/13Wildfires
Undead
109
118
486.4
482.8
-0.00-0.04Expected: -0.00, Actual: -0.04-2.0
+2.0
484.4
484.7
Stats
03/23/13Wildfires
Ventura
42
162
540.6
439.9
0.45-0.59Expected: 0.45, Actual: -0.59-54.3
+54.3
486.4
494.1
Stats
03/23/13Wildfires
SCRD: Bad Beats
95
46
543.9
460.8
0.410.35Expected: 0.41, Actual: 0.35-3.3
+3.3
540.6
464.1
Stats
08/11/12Wildfires
Humboldt
144
141
560.5
465.2
0.390.01Expected: 0.39, Actual: 0.01-16.6
+16.6
543.9
481.9
Stats
04/22/12Wildfires
Sacramento
212
116
561.4
512.4
0.310.29Expected: 0.31, Actual: 0.29-0.8
+0.8
560.5
513.2
Stats
03/03/12Wildfires
Orange County
111
109
573.5
501.4
0.280.01Expected: 0.28, Actual: 0.01-12.1
+12.1
561.4
513.6
Stats
02/18/12Wildfires
Oly
102
123
548.1
723.0
-0.67-0.09Expected: -0.67, Actual: -0.09+25.4
-25.4
573.5
697.6
Stats
10/15/11Wildfires
Steel City
101
223
547.6
615.7
-0.39-0.38Expected: -0.39, Actual: -0.38+0.5
-0.5
548.1
615.1
Stats
10/01/11Wildfires
Rocky Mtn.
25
296
554.0
713.4
-0.70-0.84Expected: -0.70, Actual: -0.84-6.4
+6.4
547.6
719.8
Stats
08/27/11Wildfires
Windy City
22
256
574.8
638.7
-0.37-0.84Expected: -0.37, Actual: -0.84-20.9
+20.9
554.0
659.6
Stats
05/15/11Wildfires
Bay Area
49
174
579.8
660.7
-0.45-0.56Expected: -0.45, Actual: -0.56-5.0
+5.0
574.8
665.7
Stats
05/15/11Wildfires
Emerald City
158
93
591.9
489.0
0.530.26Expected: 0.53, Actual: 0.26-12.1
+12.1
579.8
501.1
Stats
04/16/11Wildfires
Carolina
73
77
590.2
589.1
-0.06-0.03Expected: -0.06, Actual: -0.03+1.7
-1.7
591.9
587.4
Stats
09/11/10Wildfires
Charm City
73
159
595.9
633.7
-0.25-0.37Expected: -0.25, Actual: -0.37-5.7
+5.7
590.2
639.4
Stats
08/28/10Wildfires
TRD: Copper Queens
212
57
585.6
495.6
0.360.58Expected: 0.36, Actual: 0.58+10.3
-10.3
595.9
485.3
Stats
06/06/10Wildfires
Bay Area
148
151
579.7
590.7
-0.13-0.01Expected: -0.13, Actual: -0.01+5.9
-5.9
585.6
584.9
Stats
06/06/10Wildfires
Humboldt
199
63
584.1
457.9
0.610.52Expected: 0.61, Actual: 0.52-4.4
+4.4
579.7
462.3
Stats
05/02/10Wildfires
RCR: Axles of Annihilation
133
81
584.3
549.1
0.250.24Expected: 0.25, Actual: 0.24-0.2
+0.2
584.1
549.4
Stats
05/02/10Wildfires
LA Derby Dolls
139
70
589.7
510.4
0.440.33Expected: 0.44, Actual: 0.33-5.4
+5.4
584.3
515.8
Stats
04/03/10Wildfires
Atlanta
153
61
564.8
595.7
-0.080.43Expected: -0.08, Actual: 0.43+24.8
-24.8
589.7
570.9
Stats
03/27/10Wildfires
Cincinnati
129
108
551.3
576.1
-0.190.09Expected: -0.19, Actual: 0.09+13.5
-13.5
564.8
562.6
Stats
10/17/09Wildfires
Cincinnati
71
103
563.4
564.0
0.07-0.18Expected: 0.07, Actual: -0.18-12.1
+12.1
551.3
576.1
Stats
08/15/09Wildfires
Bay Area
67
140
569.6
601.5
-0.23-0.35Expected: -0.23, Actual: -0.35-6.1
+6.1
563.4
607.7
Stats
05/17/09Wildfires
Angel City
151
113
567.3
553.8
0.100.14Expected: 0.10, Actual: 0.14+2.3
-2.3
569.6
551.5
Stats
05/17/09Wildfires
Sacramento
212
26
552.9
453.3
0.480.78Expected: 0.48, Actual: 0.78+14.4
-14.4
567.3
438.9
Stats
04/25/09Wildfires
Elevated
71
77
545.0
572.5
-0.20-0.04Expected: -0.20, Actual: -0.04+7.9
-7.9
552.9
564.6
Stats
04/04/09Wildfires
Central Coast (CA)
179
47
538.3
456.8
0.440.58Expected: 0.44, Actual: 0.58+6.8
-6.8
545.0
450.0
Stats
02/21/09Wildfires
Inland Empire
146
38
537.7
420.6
0.580.59Expected: 0.58, Actual: 0.59+0.6
-0.6
538.3
420.0
Stats
01/24/09Wildfires
Arizona
185
62
501.2
540.1
-0.260.50Expected: -0.26, Actual: 0.50+36.5
-36.5
537.7
503.5
Stats
01/10/09Wildfires
Orange County
114
51
483.3
467.3
0.010.38Expected: 0.01, Actual: 0.38+18.0
-18.0
501.2
449.3
Stats
12/06/08Wildfires
Rocky Mtn.
56
107
475.8
563.0
-0.47-0.31Expected: -0.47, Actual: -0.31+7.4
-7.4
483.3
555.6
Stats
10/18/08Wildfires
Bakersfield
84
30
453.1
458.4
0.000.47Expected: 0.00, Actual: 0.47+22.7
-22.7
475.8
435.7
Stats
08/23/08Wildfires
Sacred
37
146
460.2
543.0
-0.45-0.60Expected: -0.45, Actual: -0.60-7.1
+7.1
453.1
550.1
Stats
07/19/08Wildfires
RCRD: Sockit Wenches
33
130
470.7
536.2
-0.38-0.60Expected: -0.38, Actual: -0.60-10.5
+10.5
460.2
546.7
Stats
07/12/08Wildfires
North Bay
60
59
469.7
485.9
-0.010.01Expected: -0.01, Actual: 0.01+0.9
-0.9
470.7
485.0
Stats
06/07/08Wildfires
Sacramento
58
42
467.0
460.1
0.100.16Expected: 0.10, Actual: 0.16+2.7
-2.7
469.7
457.4
Stats
03/15/08Wildfires
Angel City
52
113
491.6
477.4
0.14-0.37Expected: 0.14, Actual: -0.37-24.6
+24.6
467.0
502.1
Stats
12/15/07Wildfires
Treasure Valley
84
80
[unranked]
483.2
0.02Actual: 0.02 
 
491.6
483.2
Stats