| Date | This Team | Opponent | Expected vs. Actual | Change | New Rating | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/27/19 | NRD: Third Alarm (240) | vs CCRD: Party Crashers (104) | +19.2 | 340.6 |  Stats | |
| 04/13/19 | NRD: Third Alarm (62) | vs Punishers (213) | -21.0 | 321.4 | Stats | |
| 02/10/19 | NRD: Third Alarm (88) | vs Terrorz (90) | -24.0 | 342.4 | Stats | |
| 07/21/18 | NRD: Third Alarm (207) | vs DRD: Downriver Doll Stars B (189) | +14.9 | 366.3 | Stats | |
| 06/23/18 | NRD: Third Alarm (157) | vs ROCK (173) | -0.7 | 351.4 | Stats | |
| 04/21/18 | NRD: Third Alarm (270) | vs Illiana (70) | +10.5 | 352.1 | Stats | |
| 02/25/18 | NRD: Third Alarm (289) | vs CFRD: Killer Kernels (165) | +18.8 | 341.6 | Stats | |
| 09/09/17 | NRD: Third Alarm (118) | vs QCR: Mississippi Massacre (188) | -12.1 | 322.7 | Stats | |
| 08/19/17 | NRD: Third Alarm (101) | vs South Bend (160) | -4.9 | 334.8 | Stats | |
| 08/05/17 | NRD: Third Alarm (178) | vs CSRD: B Team (238) | -9.8 | 339.8 | Stats | |
| 06/03/17 | NRD: Third Alarm (226) | vs Dire Skates (171) | -2.5 | 349.6 | Stats | |
| 04/22/17 | NRD: Third Alarm (170) | vs Quad City Rollers (136) | +23.4 | 352.1 | Stats | |
| 04/01/17 | NRD: Third Alarm (152) | vs Kokomo (169) | -4.0 | 328.6 | Stats | |
| 07/24/16 | NRD: Third Alarm (206) | vs MidState Mayhem (154) | +12.6 | 332.6 | Stats | |
| 07/09/16 | NRD: Third Alarm (150) | vs CFRD: Killer Kernels (183) | -13.3 | 320.0 | Stats | |
| 06/05/16 | NRD: Third Alarm (103) | vs Lafayette (157) | -3.0 | 333.3 | Stats | |
| 05/21/16 | NRD: Third Alarm (169) | vs BHRD: Code Blue Assassins (203) | -10.4 | 336.3 | Stats | |
| 07/25/15 | NRD: Third Alarm (282) | vs Kokomo (142) | +3.1 | 346.7 | Stats | |
| 05/30/15 | NRD: Third Alarm (110) | vs ROCK (202) | -26.5 | 343.6 |  Stats | |
| 05/09/15 | NRD: Third Alarm (317) | vs A-Town (83) | +2.0 | 370.1 | Stats | |
| 03/22/15 | NRD: Third Alarm (247) | vs Bone City (58) | +15.9 | 368.2 | Stats | |
| 08/09/14 | NRD: Third Alarm (204) | vs Gem City (175) | +25.2 | 352.3 | Stats | |
| 07/12/14 | NRD: Third Alarm (82) | vs Terrorz (328) | -17.1 | 327.0 | Stats | |
| 06/28/14 | NRD: Third Alarm (73) | vs SBRD: Bonnie Dooms (216) | -22.1 | 344.2 | Stats | |
| 05/10/14 | NRD: Third Alarm (130) | vs DCRD: Destruction Dames (196) | -25.6 | 366.3 | Stats | |
| 03/08/14 | NRD: Third Alarm (121) | vs Lafayette (226) | -23.4 | 391.9 | Stats | |
| 07/20/13 | NRD: Third Alarm (238) | vs ROCK (153) | -6.4 | 415.3 | Stats | |
| 06/16/13 | NRD: Third Alarm (172) | vs Cornfed (145) | +0.4 | 421.7 | Stats | |
| 05/11/13 | NRD: Third Alarm (122) | vs Ann Arbor (270) | -15.9 | 421.3 | Stats | |
| 03/23/13 | NRD: Third Alarm (206) | vs Quad City Rollers (187) | -12.7 | 437.3 | Stats | |
| 03/02/13 | NRD: Third Alarm (216) | vs DCRD: Destruction Dames (96) | +23.4 | 449.9 | Stats | |
| 02/24/13 | NRD: Third Alarm (169) | vs FWDG: SWAT team (164) | -12.5 | 426.5 | Stats | |
| 08/25/12 | NRD: Third Alarm (183) | vs Youngstown (90) | -0.3 | 439.0 | Stats | |
| 05/26/12 | NRD: Third Alarm (208) | vs VCRD: Venom (89) | +12.6 | 439.3 | Stats | |
| 05/19/12 | NRD: Third Alarm (168) | vs Lafayette (51) | +6.8 | 426.6 | Stats | |
| 04/14/12 | NRD: Third Alarm (185) | vs Cornfed (76) | +12.4 | 419.8 | Stats | |
| 02/11/12 | NRD: Third Alarm (116) | vs South Bend (121) | -1.4 | 407.4 | Stats | |
| 02/04/12 | NRD: Third Alarm (95) | vs BCB: Battlestars (111) | +9.6 | 408.8 | Stats | |
| 02/04/12 | NRD: Third Alarm (135) | vs BHRD: Code Blue Assassins (131) | +14.5 | 399.2 | Stats | |
| 02/04/12 | NRD: Third Alarm (147) | vs BBRG: Shiners (136) | -3.0 | 384.7 | Stats | |
| 01/07/12 | NRD: Third Alarm (100) | vs DCRD: Destruction Dames (149) | -15.4 | 387.7 | Stats | |
| 10/15/11 | NRD: Third Alarm (239) | vs Quad City Rollers (82) | +12.3 | 403.1 | Stats | |
| 09/17/11 | NRD: Third Alarm (118) | vs VCRD: Venom (90) | +5.8 | 390.8 | Stats | |
| 08/20/11 | NRD: Third Alarm (151) | vs BBRG: Shiners (96) | +12.8 | 385.0 | Stats | |
| 07/30/11 | NRD: Third Alarm (46) | vs Rubber City (142) | -24.7 | 372.2 | Stats | |
| 07/24/11 | NRD: Third Alarm (160) | vs Cornfed (116) | +5.2 | 396.9 | Stats | |
| 06/11/11 | NRD: Third Alarm (171) | vs Radioactive City (79) | +5.7 | 391.7 | Stats | |
| 06/05/11 | NRD: Third Alarm (128) | vs CINC: Flock Ewes (131) | 386.0 | Stats | ||
| 04/02/11 | NRD: Third Alarm (117) | vs Rubber City (178) | -18.5 | 386.0 | Stats | |
| 03/05/11 | NRD: Third Alarm (97) | vs PVRG: Flying Squirrels (94) | -15.3 | 404.6 | Stats | |
| 02/12/11 | NRD: Third Alarm (170) | vs Chippewa Valley (55) | -4.7 | 419.9 | Stats | |
| 09/18/10 | NRD: Third Alarm (107) | vs RCRG: Hot Rod Dollies (75) | -0.9 | 424.6 | Stats | |
| 07/17/10 | NRD: Third Alarm (117) | vs Rockford (122) | -2.2 | 425.5 | Stats | |
| 05/01/10 | NRD: Third Alarm (80) | vs ARD: Audio Assault (38) | 427.7 | Stats |
| Date | Teams | Score | Incoming Ratings | Expected | Actual | Expected vs. Actual | Change | New Ratings | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/27/19 | NRD: Third Alarm CCRD: Party Crashers | 240 104 | 321.4 297.7 | 0.07 | 0.40 | +19.2 -19.2 | 340.6 278.5 | Stats | |
| 04/13/19 | NRD: Third Alarm Punishers | 62 213 | 342.4 391.4 | -0.20 | -0.55 | -21.0 +21.0 | 321.4 412.3 | Stats | |
| 02/10/19 | NRD: Third Alarm Terrorz | 88 90 | 366.3 292.8 | 0.39 | -0.01 | -24.0 +24.0 | 342.4 316.8 | Stats | |
| 07/21/18 | NRD: Third Alarm DRD: Downriver Doll Stars B | 207 189 | 351.4 384.0 | -0.21 | 0.05 | +14.9 -14.9 | 366.3 369.0 | Stats | |
| 06/23/18 | NRD: Third Alarm ROCK | 157 173 | 352.1 368.4 | -0.04 | -0.05 | -0.7 +0.7 | 351.4 369.1 | Stats | |
| 04/21/18 | NRD: Third Alarm Illiana | 270 70 | 341.6 263.0 | 0.41 | 0.59 | +10.5 -10.5 | 352.1 252.5 | Stats | |
| 02/25/18 | NRD: Third Alarm CFRD: Killer Kernels | 289 165 | 322.7 322.3 | -0.04 | 0.27 | +18.8 -18.8 | 341.6 303.5 | Stats | |
| 09/09/17 | NRD: Third Alarm QCR: Mississippi Massacre | 118 188 | 334.8 331.0 | -0.03 | -0.23 | -12.1 +12.1 | 322.7 343.1 | Stats | |
| 08/19/17 | NRD: Third Alarm South Bend | 101 160 | 339.8 359.6 | -0.14 | -0.23 | -4.9 +4.9 | 334.8 364.5 | Stats | |
| 08/05/17 | NRD: Third Alarm CSRD: B Team | 178 238 | 349.6 336.5 | 0.02 | -0.14 | -9.8 +9.8 | 339.8 346.3 | Stats | |
| 06/03/17 | NRD: Third Alarm Dire Skates | 226 171 | 352.1 324.6 | 0.18 | 0.14 | -2.5 +2.5 | 349.6 327.1 | Stats | |
| 04/22/17 | NRD: Third Alarm Quad City Rollers | 170 136 | 328.6 395.6 | -0.28 | 0.11 | +23.4 -23.4 | 352.1 372.2 | Stats | |
| 04/01/17 | NRD: Third Alarm Kokomo | 152 169 | 332.6 320.7 | 0.01 | -0.05 | -4.0 +4.0 | 328.6 324.7 | Stats | |
| 07/24/16 | NRD: Third Alarm MidState Mayhem | 206 154 | 320.0 324.5 | -0.07 | 0.14 | +12.6 -12.6 | 332.6 311.9 | Stats | |
| 07/09/16 | NRD: Third Alarm CFRD: Killer Kernels | 150 183 | 333.3 299.4 | 0.12 | -0.10 | -13.3 +13.3 | 320.0 312.7 | Stats | |
| 06/05/16 | NRD: Third Alarm Lafayette | 103 157 | 336.3 359.1 | -0.16 | -0.21 | -3.0 +3.0 | 333.3 362.1 | Stats | |
| 05/21/16 | NRD: Third Alarm BHRD: Code Blue Assassins | 169 203 | 346.7 339.0 | 0.08 | -0.09 | -10.4 +10.4 | 336.3 349.4 | Stats | |
| 07/25/15 | NRD: Third Alarm Kokomo | 282 142 | 343.6 296.9 | 0.27 | 0.33 | +3.1 -3.1 | 346.7 293.8 | Stats | |
| 05/30/15 | NRD: Third Alarm ROCK | 110 202 | 370.1 317.9 | 0.21 | -0.29 | -26.5 +26.5 | 343.6 344.5 | Stats | |
| 05/09/15 | NRD: Third Alarm A-Town | 317 83 | 368.2 254.2 | 0.55 | 0.59 | +2.0 -2.0 | 370.1 252.3 | Stats | |
| 03/22/15 | NRD: Third Alarm Bone City | 247 58 | 352.3 296.0 | 0.32 | 0.62 | +15.9 -15.9 | 368.2 280.1 | Stats | |
| 08/09/14 | NRD: Third Alarm Gem City | 204 175 | 327.0 404.1 | -0.41 | 0.08 | +25.2 -25.2 | 352.3 378.9 | Stats | |
| 07/12/14 | NRD: Third Alarm Terrorz | 82 328 | 344.2 409.0 | -0.27 | -0.60 | -17.1 +17.1 | 327.0 426.2 | Stats | |
| 06/28/14 | NRD: Third Alarm SBRD: Bonnie Dooms | 73 216 | 366.3 371.7 | -0.07 | -0.49 | -22.1 +22.1 | 344.2 393.8 | Stats | |
| 05/10/14 | NRD: Third Alarm DCRD: Destruction Dames | 130 196 | 391.9 323.8 | 0.29 | -0.20 | -25.6 +25.6 | 366.3 349.4 | Stats | |
| 03/08/14 | NRD: Third Alarm Lafayette | 121 226 | 415.3 377.0 | 0.15 | -0.30 | -23.4 +23.4 | 391.9 400.5 | Stats | |
| 07/20/13 | NRD: Third Alarm ROCK | 238 153 | 421.7 342.1 | 0.34 | 0.22 | -6.4 +6.4 | 415.3 348.4 | Stats | |
| 06/16/13 | NRD: Third Alarm Cornfed | 172 145 | 421.3 396.6 | 0.08 | 0.09 | +0.4 -0.4 | 421.7 396.2 | Stats | |
| 05/11/13 | NRD: Third Alarm Ann Arbor | 122 270 | 437.3 442.8 | -0.07 | -0.38 | -15.9 +15.9 | 421.3 458.8 | Stats | |
| 03/23/13 | NRD: Third Alarm Quad City Rollers | 206 187 | 449.9 381.0 | 0.29 | 0.05 | -12.7 +12.7 | 437.3 393.7 | Stats | |
| 03/02/13 | NRD: Third Alarm DCRD: Destruction Dames | 216 96 | 426.5 430.2 | -0.06 | 0.38 | +23.4 -23.4 | 449.9 406.8 | Stats | |
| 02/24/13 | NRD: Third Alarm FWDG: SWAT team | 169 164 | 439.0 378.1 | 0.25 | 0.02 | -12.5 +12.5 | 426.5 390.6 | Stats | |
| 08/25/12 | NRD: Third Alarm Youngstown | 183 90 | 439.3 353.0 | 0.35 | 0.34 | -0.3 +0.3 | 439.0 353.2 | Stats | |
| 05/26/12 | NRD: Third Alarm VCRD: Venom | 208 89 | 426.6 389.5 | 0.12 | 0.40 | +12.6 -12.6 | 439.3 376.9 | Stats | |
| 05/19/12 | NRD: Third Alarm Lafayette | 168 51 | 419.8 325.7 | 0.38 | 0.53 | +6.8 -6.8 | 426.6 318.9 | Stats | |
| 04/14/12 | NRD: Third Alarm Cornfed | 185 76 | 407.4 365.6 | 0.14 | 0.42 | +12.4 -12.4 | 419.8 353.3 | Stats | |
| 02/11/12 | NRD: Third Alarm South Bend | 116 121 | 408.8 392.9 | 0.01 | -0.02 | -1.4 +1.4 | 407.4 394.2 | Stats | |
| 02/04/12 | NRD: Third Alarm BCB: Battlestars | 95 111 | 399.2 444.3 | -0.29 | -0.08 | +9.6 -9.6 | 408.8 434.7 | Stats | |
| 02/04/12 | NRD: Third Alarm BHRD: Code Blue Assassins | 135 131 | 384.7 434.0 | -0.31 | 0.02 | +14.5 -14.5 | 399.2 419.4 | Stats | |
| 02/04/12 | NRD: Third Alarm BBRG: Shiners | 147 136 | 387.7 350.9 | 0.11 | 0.04 | -3.0 +3.0 | 384.7 353.9 | Stats | |
| 01/07/12 | NRD: Third Alarm DCRD: Destruction Dames | 100 149 | 403.1 358.7 | 0.15 | -0.20 | -15.4 +15.4 | 387.7 374.1 | Stats | |
| 10/15/11 | NRD: Third Alarm Quad City Rollers | 239 82 | 390.8 333.8 | 0.21 | 0.49 | +12.3 -12.3 | 403.1 321.5 | Stats | |
| 09/17/11 | NRD: Third Alarm VCRD: Venom | 118 90 | 385.0 370.3 | 0.00 | 0.13 | +5.8 -5.8 | 390.8 364.5 | Stats | |
| 08/20/11 | NRD: Third Alarm BBRG: Shiners | 151 96 | 372.2 371.5 | -0.07 | 0.22 | +12.8 -12.8 | 385.0 358.7 | Stats | |
| 07/30/11 | NRD: Third Alarm Rubber City | 46 142 | 396.9 401.3 | 0.05 | -0.51 | -24.7 +24.7 | 372.2 426.1 | Stats | |
| 07/24/11 | NRD: Third Alarm Cornfed | 160 116 | 391.7 369.2 | 0.04 | 0.16 | +5.2 -5.2 | 396.9 364.0 | Stats | |
| 06/11/11 | NRD: Third Alarm Radioactive City | 171 79 | 386.0 323.1 | 0.24 | 0.37 | +5.7 -5.7 | 391.7 317.4 | Stats | |
| 06/05/11 | NRD: Third Alarm CINC: Flock Ewes | 128 131 | 386.0 [unranked] | -0.01 | | 386.0 382.4 | Stats | ||
| 04/02/11 | NRD: Third Alarm Rubber City | 117 178 | 404.6 347.6 | 0.21 | -0.21 | -18.5 +18.5 | 386.0 366.2 | Stats | |
| 03/05/11 | NRD: Third Alarm PVRG: Flying Squirrels | 97 94 | 419.9 330.2 | 0.36 | 0.02 | -15.3 +15.3 | 404.6 345.6 | Stats | |
| 02/12/11 | NRD: Third Alarm Chippewa Valley | 170 55 | 424.6 266.4 | 0.62 | 0.51 | -4.7 +4.7 | 419.9 271.1 | Stats | |
| 09/18/10 | NRD: Third Alarm RCRG: Hot Rod Dollies | 107 75 | 425.5 372.1 | 0.19 | 0.18 | -0.9 +0.9 | 424.6 373.0 | Stats | |
| 07/17/10 | NRD: Third Alarm Rockford | 117 122 | 427.7 408.8 | 0.02 | -0.02 | -2.2 +2.2 | 425.5 411.0 | Stats | |
| 05/01/10 | NRD: Third Alarm ARD: Audio Assault | 80 38 | [unranked] 400.3 | 0.36 | | 427.7 400.3 | Stats |
